- Sweden: Consumer Confidence, Business Tendency Survey, Public Finance (Mar)
- Spain: Mortgage Market (Jan), Order Book Forecast (Mar)
- Italy: ISTAT Business & Consumer Survey Press Release (Mar)
- Germany: Business Registrations & Deregistrations (Dec), Import & Export Prices (Feb), IAB Labor Market Barometer (Mar)
- Vietnam: GDP (Q1), CPI, IP, International Trade, Passenger & Cargo Traffic Statistics, Manufacturing Sales and Inventories, International Visitor Arrivals (Mar); Korea: Economic Sentiment
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Product Prices Remain Under Pressure
Regular gasoline prices held steady at $2.32 per gallon last week (12.1% y/y) for the third straight week...
German Federal Debt Levels Fall
German debt level fell outright in Q4 2016 as the ratio of federal debt-to-GDP also fell...
NABE 2018 Forecast: Modest Improvement in Economic Growth & Higher Inflation
The NABE expects 2.5% real U.S. economic growth in 2018 compared to 2.3% forecast for 2017...
Texas Factory Sector Activity Remains Strong
The Dallas Fed indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the General Business Activity Index eased during March...
EMU Money and Credit Growth Are Less Than Impressive Than Euro-PMIs
EMU nominal money supply growth is slightly higher over three months, but credit growth in the EMU is slower...
Durable Goods Orders Strengthened by Another Jump in Aircraft
New orders for durable goods rose 1.7% (5.0% y/y) during February...
by Tom Moeller January 6, 2016
New orders in the manufacturing sector fell 0.2% during November (-3.5% y/y) following a 1.3% October increase, revised from 1.5%. The decline compared to expectations for a 0.1% increase in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The shortfall reflected little change (+2.3% y/y) in durable goods orders which were unrevised from the advance report. The figure contained a 22.2% decline (-10.4% y/y) in nondefense aircraft & parts orders. Factory sector orders excluding the transportation altogether eased 0.3% (-5.7% y/y) following a 0.1% gain. Orders for nondurable goods (which equal shipments) fell 0.4% (-8.7% y/y), off for the fifth straight month. A 1.7% decline (-36.1% y/y) in shipments from petroleum refineries was the fifth consecutive drop as prices fell. Also dipping by 0.2% (-1.8% y/y) were food product shipments. Basic chemical shipments eased 0.2% (+1.1% y/y). Apparel shipments rebounded 1.1% but they were up negligibly versus last year. Durable goods shipments recovered 0.8% (3.2% y/y), led by a 0.9% increase (9.3% y/y) in computers.
Unfilled orders in the manufacturing sector increased 0.2% (-2.2% y/y). Transportation sector backlogs rose 0.2% (-2.4% y/y), despite a 0.4% fall (-1.8% y/y) in nondefense aircraft & parts. Outside of the transportation sector, backlogs improved 0.2% (-2.0% y/y). Electrical equipment backlogs fell 0.6% (-4.7% y/y), the eighth decline in as many months. Computer & electronic product backlogs gained 0.7% (5.7% y/y).
Factory sector inventories fell 0.3% (-2.3% y/y), about as they have during the last five months. Outside of the transportation sector, inventories were off 0.1% (-3.2% y/y), off for the fifth consecutive month. Primary metals inventories fell 1.2% (-10.4% y/y) and machinery inventories eased 0.1% (-1.4% y/y). Electrical equipment & appliance inventories declined 0.2% (-1.3% y/y) while computer & electronic product inventories fell 0.4% (+0.1% y/y).
The factory sector figures are available in Haver's USECON database. The expectations figure from the Action Economics Forecast Survey is available in AS1REPNA.
|Factory Sector- NAICS Classification (%)||Nov||Oct||Sep||Y/Y||2014||2013||2012|