- Weekly: **Unemployment Initial Claims Data have been revised**
- US: Housing Starts by State and Region (Feb)
- CPB World Trade Monitor (Jan)
- CPB World Trade Monitor (Jan)
- France: Registered Unemployed & Job Vacancies (Feb)
- US: Household Employment for States and Regions (Feb)
- US: Wholesale Trade Revisions, Advance Durable Goods (Feb)
- Manufacturing Survey - Markit US (Flash - Mar), Composite Survey - US (Flash - Mar), Services Survey - US (Flash - Mar)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
Correction to Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims
The Department of Labor has issued a correction to yesterday's annual revision to seasonally adjusted weekly unemployment claims...
EMU PMIs Are Off to the Races...Farewell Mediocrity?
The PMI rankings for the manufacturing and service sector PMIs in the EMU are suddenly off the chart...
U.S. New Home Sales Improve While Prices Decline
Sales of new single-family homes increased 6.1% (12.8% y/y) during February to 592,000 units (AR)...
Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Strengthens; Expectations Surge
The Kansas City Fed reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity increased to 20 during March...
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise
Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased to 258,000 (-3.0% y/y) during the week ended March 18...
U.K. Retail Looks Less Bulletproof
For the most part, the assessments embodied in the March survey from the UK's CBI are being taken as being upbeat...
by Tom Moeller January 14, 2016
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose to 284,000 (-4.9% y/y) in the week ended January 9 from an unrevised 277,000 in the previous week. Consensus expectations were for 272,000 applications in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The four-week moving average rose to 278,750, the highest level since early July. During the last ten years, there has been a 75% correlation between the level of initial claims and the m/m change in payroll employment.
In the week ending January 2, continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose to 2.263 million (-6.3% y/y) from the previous week's 2.234 million. The four-week moving average rose to 2.224 million, the highest level since late-September.
The insured rate of unemployment nudged high to 1.7% following three weeks at 1.6%.
Insured rates of unemployment across states continued to vary. Near the low end of the range were Florida (0.70%), North Carolina (0.76%), Nebraska (0.89%), Virginia (0.95%), Tennessee (1.04%) and Indiana (1.05%). At the high end of the scale were Massachusetts (2.53%), Illinois (2.61%), Connecticut (2.66%), Pennsylvania (2.82%), New Jersey (2.95%), and Montana (3.18%). The state data are not seasonally adjusted and cover the week ended December 26.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
Estimating the Monetary Policy Rule Perceived by Forecasters from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City can be found here.
|Unemployment Insurance (000s)||01/09/16||01/02/16||12/26/15||Y/Y %||2015||2014||2013|
|Insured Unemployment Rate (%)||--||1.7||1.6||