- US: IIP (Q4)
- Zambia: BOP (Q4); Israel: Credit Card Purchases (Feb); UAE: CPI (Feb); Saudi Arabia: GDP (Q4-Prelim)
- Hungary: Employment (Feb); Bulgaria: Business Survey (Mar); Kazakhstan: Consolidated Budget (Feb)
- Sweden: Consumer Confidence, Business Tendency Survey, Public Finance (Mar); Iceland: PPI (Feb)
- Spain: Mortgage Market (Jan), Order Book Forecast (Mar)
- Italy: ISTAT Business & Consumer Survey (Mar)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Product Prices Remain Under Pressure
Regular gasoline prices held steady at $2.32 per gallon last week (12.1% y/y) for the third straight week...
German Federal Debt Levels Fall
German debt level fell outright in Q4 2016 as the ratio of federal debt-to-GDP also fell...
NABE 2018 Forecast: Modest Improvement in Economic Growth & Higher Inflation
The NABE expects 2.5% real U.S. economic growth in 2018 compared to 2.3% forecast for 2017...
Texas Factory Sector Activity Remains Strong
The Dallas Fed indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the General Business Activity Index eased during March...
EMU Money and Credit Growth Are Less Than Impressive Than Euro-PMIs
EMU nominal money supply growth is slightly higher over three months, but credit growth in the EMU is slower...
Durable Goods Orders Strengthened by Another Jump in Aircraft
New orders for durable goods rose 1.7% (5.0% y/y) during February...
by Tom Moeller February 19, 2016
The Consumer Price Index held steady during January (1.4% y/y) following an unrevised 0.1% dip during December. A 0.1% easing had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The CPI excluding food & energy increased 0.3% (2.2% y/y), the largest monthly increase since August 2011. A 0.1% rise had been expected.
A 2.8% decline (-6.5% y/y) in energy prices held back the overall CPI increase, the same as in December. Gasoline prices fell 4.8% (-7.3% y/y), repeating the December decline. Heating oil costs dropped 6.5% (NSA, -28.7% y/y). Electricity costs fell 0.7% (-2.4% y/y) and natural gas prices eased 0.6% (-12.7% y/y).
Food prices remained unchanged (0.8% y/y) following two months of slight decline. Meat prices fell 0.8% (-4.9% y/y) and dairy product prices eased 0.2% (-3.0% y/y). Cereal prices were off 0.2% (+0.4% y/y), but fruit & vegetable costs jumped 1.3% (2.7% y/y). Nonalcoholic beverage prices fell 0.2% (+0.1% y/y).
Services prices excluding energy firmed 0.3% (3.0% y/y), the strongest increase in nine months. Medical care services powered the rise with a 0.5% increase (3.3% y/y). Transportation services prices gained 0.4% (2.7% y/y) as the cost of public transportation jumped 0.7% (-0.1% y/y). Recreation services prices rose 0.3% (2.3% y/y) for a second month. Shelter prices gained 0.3% as primary residence rents also rose 0.3% (3.7% y/y). The owners equivalent rent of primary residences improved 0.2% (3.2% y/y). Tuition & other school fees remained unchanged (3.3% y/y).
Core goods prices increased 0.2% (-0.1% y/y) following eight months of slight decline. Apparel prices jumped 0.6% (-0.6% y/y), after four months of decline, andss medical care goods prices rose 0.4% (2.1% y/y). New vehicle prices increased 0.3% (0.6% y/y). Appliance prices rose 0.2% (-2.9% y/y) and furniture & bedding costs held steady (-0.3% y/y). Recreation goods prices were unchanged (-3.9% y/y) and education & communications product prices fell 1.3% (-3.9%).
The consumer price data is available in Haver's USECON database while detailed figures can be found in CPIDATA. The expectations figure is from Action Economics and is found in the AS1REPNA database.
|Consumer Price Index, All Urban Consumers (%)||Jan||Dec||Nov||Jan Y/Y||2015||2014||2013|
|Total less Food & Energy||0.3||0.2||0.2||2.2||1.8||1.7||1.8|
|Goods less Food & Energy||0.2||-0.1||-0.1||-0.1||-0.5||-0.3||-0.0|
|Services less Energy||0.3||0.2||0.3||3.0||2.6||2.5||2.4|