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Economy in Brief
Japan Shows Very Moderate Growth As Trade War Clouds Gather
Japan’s sector indexes showed a solid gain in February...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Rose in April
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index rose to 128.7 in April from 127.0 (initially reported as 127.7) in March...
U.S. New Home Sales and Prices Strengthen
Sales of new single-family homes during March increased 4.0% (8.8% y/y) to 694,000 (SAAR)...
U.S. FHFA House Price Index Continues to Strengthen
The FHFA index of U.S. house prices rose 0.6% during February...
U.S. Energy Prices Rise Further
Retail gasoline prices increased to $2.80 per gallon last week (14.3% y/y)...
by Tom Moeller February 23, 2016
The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales nudged 0.4% higher (7.5% y/y) during January to 5.470 million (SAAR). The rise followed a revised 12.1% December jump. Sales were stronger than the 5.36 million called for in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. Sales were revised slightly back to 2013.
Median sales prices of existing homes declined 4.2% last month to $213,800, but remained up 8.2% from one year earlier. The average sales price fell 4.4% to $215,000 (+8.3% y/y).
The number of homes on the market declined 2.2% y/y. The month's supply of homes held at 4.0, near the lowest level since 2005, down from the 11.9 month high in July 2010.
In December, the composite index of housing affordability eased to 161.7, down 5.4% y/y. It remained well below the January 2013 high of 214.5, suggesting that the median income family was less able to afford a median priced existing home.
The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability can be found in Haver's USECON database. The regional price, affordability and inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.
Whither Mortgages? from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York is available here.
Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Jan | Dec | Nov | NSA, Y/Y % | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 5,470 | 5,450 | 4,860 | 7.5 | 5,254 | 4,935 | 5,087 |
Northeast | 760 | 740 | 700 | 18.2 | 691 | 645 | 658 |
Midwest | 1,300 | 1,250 | 1,120 | 13.8 | 1,224 | 1,131 | 1,194 |
South | 2,240 | 2,240 | 1,990 | 4.1 | 2,151 | 2,051 | 2,040 |
West | 1,170 | 1,220 | 1,050 | 2.9 | 1,172 | 1,103 | 1,188 |
Single-Family Sales | 4,860 | 4,810 | 4,260 | 7.5 | 4,626 | 4,344 | 4,484 |
Median Price Total ($, NSA) | 213,800 | 223,200 | 220,000 | 8.2 | 219,867 | 206,708 | 195,667 |