- US: GDP & Corporate Profits (Q4, 3rd release)
- Canada: Industrial Products & Raw Material Prices (Feb)
- Spain: Flash HICP and CPI, Construction Business Survey Press (Mar)
- Euro area: EC Business and Consumer Surveys (Mar)
- Belize: GDP (Q4)
- Chile: IP (Feb); Brazil: Retail Trade - Rebased 2014=100 (Jan)
- Croatia: Employment, Retail Trade Press (Feb), Earnings (Jan); Bulgaria: PPI (Feb); Montenegro: Wages (Feb); Latvia: Retail Trade (Jan); Lithuania: External Debt Service (Q4);
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Economy in Brief
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ease
Initial jobless insurance applications fell to 258,000 (-3.1% y/y) during the week ended March 25...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Jump
The NAR reported that pending home sales increased 5.5% in February to an index level of 112.3...
U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Remain Little Changed; Variable Rate Apps Surge
The MBA total Mortgage Market Volume Index slipped 0.8% last week (-12.4% y/y)...
La Dolce Vita? Italian Confidence Bumps Higher
Italian business and consumer confidence moved higher in March...
U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves Significantly
The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for March strengthened 8.2% (30.7% y/y) to 125.6...
U.S. Energy Product Prices Remain Under Pressure
Regular gasoline prices held steady at $2.32 per gallon last week (12.1% y/y) for the third straight week...
by Sandy Batten September 9, 2016
Wholesale sector sales slipped 0.5% m/m (-1.0% y/y) in July following an outsize 1.7% m/m (revised from 1.9% m/m) jump in June. The Action Economics Survey had looked for a 0.2% m/m increase. Nondurable goods sales, which had led the June jump, also led the July slide. They fell 1.0% m/m (-2.6% y/y) after a downwardly revised 2.2% m/m surge in June. Sales of petroleum and petroleum products slumped 3.5% m/m in July, nearly offsetting a 3.9% m/m jump in June. Sales fell generally across the major nondurable goods product groups. Durable goods purchases edged up 0.2% m/m (0.7% y/y) in July despite modest monthly declines in sales of motor vehicles and machinery. Furniture and lumber sales rebounded smartly in July after declines in June.
Inventories at the wholesale level were essentially unchanged in July (+0.5% y/y) from a slightly upwardly revised June level (though the 0.3% m/m increase initially reported for June was not revised). July inventories were also revised up slightly from the advance report released on August 26. Inventories of durables goods rose 0.3% m/m in July while inventories of nondurable goods slipped 0.3% m/m. Five of the major durable good product groups experienced a rise in inventories (led by 1.4% m/m rise in professional and commercial equipment inventories) with the remaining four groups experiencing a decline. The monthly decline in nondurable goods inventories was relatively widely spread across major product groups (led by a 2.0% decline in farm products raw materials).
With sales slipping and inventories essentially unchanged, the inventory-to-sales ratio in the wholesale sector edged up to 1.34 in July from 1.33 in July. It had either declined or remained unchanged for five consecutive months. The expansion high was 1.37 reached in January 2016. The nondurable goods ratio rose to 1.04 in July from 1.03 in June while the durable goods ratio was unchanged at 1.65, well below its cycle peak of 1.72 (reached in August 2015).
The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
|Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%)||Jul||Jun||May||Y/Y||2015||2014||2013|
|I/S Ratio||1.34||1.33||1.35||1.32 (Jul '15)||1.32||1.21||1.18|