- Korea: Housing Price Index (Apr)
- US: Consumer Sentiment (Apr-final), GDP (Q1 Adv), ECI (Q1)
- Consumer Sentiment Detail (Apr-final)
- US: Selected NIPA Tables (Q1-Adv), Summary key Source Data (Q1)
- Canada: GDP by Industry (Feb), Industrial Product Prices (Mar)
- *Taiwan National House Price Indexes Rebased to 2016=100.*
- Euro area: HICP (Apr-Flash), ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (Q2)
- Italy: CPI, HICP (Apr-Prelim)
- Brazil: Sao Paolo Capacity Utilization (Mar);Mexico: Debt (Mar);
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Employment Cost Index Has Stronger Gain
Lifted by outsized rises in several industries, the employment cost index for civilian workers rose 0.8% (2.4% y/y) during Q1'17...
Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Strengthens
The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer Index for April increased to 58.3 from 57.7 in March...
EMU Money and Credit Perk Up
There is some noticeable acceleration in EMU money and credit growth...
Durable Goods Orders Improvement Moderates
New orders for durable goods rose 0.7% (4.5% y/y) during March...
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase
Initial unemployment claims for unemployment insurance rose to 257,000 during the week ended April 22...
U.S. Pending Home Sales Ease
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending home sales slipped 0.8% ((+0.8% y/y) during March...
by Tom Moeller August 25, 2016
Initial claims for unemployment insurance eased to 261,000 (-4.0% y/y) during the week ended August 20 following an unrevised decline to 262,000 claims in the prior week. It was the lowest level of claims in five weeks, and near the lowest level since 1973. The four-week moving average slipped to 264,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 265,000 claims in the latest week. During the last ten years, there has been a 75% correlation between the level of claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payrolls.
Continuing claims for jobless benefits declined to 2.145 million (-5.0% y/y) during the week ended August 13, from 2.175 million in the prior week. The four-week moving average was little changed at 2.155 million, also near a four-decade low.
The insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.6%, near the lowest level since 2000.
Insured rates of unemployment continued to vary across states. Near the low end of the range were North Carolina (0.66%), Florida (0.72%), Indiana (0.74%), Georgia (0.79%), Virginia (0.81%) and Maine (0.88%). At the high end of the scale were New York (1.78%), Nevada (1.80%), Massachusetts (2.01%), Pennsylvania (2.40%), Connecticut (2.68%) and New Jersey (2.72%). The state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
|Unemployment Insurance (000s)||08/20/16||08/13/16||08/06/16||Y/Y||2015||2014||2013|
|Insured Unemployment Rate (%)||--||1.6||1.6||