- US: IIP (Q4)
- Zambia: BOP (Q4); Israel: Credit Card Purchases (Feb); UAE: CPI (Feb); Saudi Arabia: GDP (Q4-Prelim)
- Hungary: Employment (Feb); Bulgaria: Business Survey (Mar); Kazakhstan: Consolidated Budget (Feb)
- Sweden: Consumer Confidence, Business Tendency Survey, Public Finance (Mar); Iceland: PPI (Feb)
- Spain: Mortgage Market (Jan), Order Book Forecast (Mar)
- Italy: ISTAT Business & Consumer Survey (Mar)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
U.S. Energy Product Prices Remain Under Pressure
Regular gasoline prices held steady at $2.32 per gallon last week (12.1% y/y) for the third straight week...
German Federal Debt Levels Fall
German debt level fell outright in Q4 2016 as the ratio of federal debt-to-GDP also fell...
NABE 2018 Forecast: Modest Improvement in Economic Growth & Higher Inflation
The NABE expects 2.5% real U.S. economic growth in 2018 compared to 2.3% forecast for 2017...
Texas Factory Sector Activity Remains Strong
The Dallas Fed indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the General Business Activity Index eased during March...
EMU Money and Credit Growth Are Less Than Impressive Than Euro-PMIs
EMU nominal money supply growth is slightly higher over three months, but credit growth in the EMU is slower...
Durable Goods Orders Strengthened by Another Jump in Aircraft
New orders for durable goods rose 1.7% (5.0% y/y) during February...
by Tom Moeller September 20, 2016
Regular gasoline prices recovered to $2.23 per gallon (-4.4% y/y) last week, and reversed the prior week's decline according to the U.S. Department of Energy. Prices remained down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in pump prices. The adjusted price increased to $2.16 per gallon, the highest level since late-June.
Prices for natural gas increased to $3.00 per mmbtu (11.6% y/y) last week, the highest level since March 2015. Prices were fairly steady at $2.97 yesterday.
WTI crude oil costs declined to $44.34 per barrel last week (-2.5% y/y), the lowest level in five weeks. Prices have fallen versus a June high of $50.19, but remained up from February's daily low of $26.21 per barrel. Yesterday, prices fell further to $43.30 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices declined to $46.21 per barrel last week, then were $46.04 yesterday.
Last week, gasoline demand increased 4.2% y/y, while demand for all petroleum products improved 5.7% y/y. Gasoline inventories rose 5.0% y/y and inventories of all petroleum products increased 4.8% y/y. Crude oil production (input to refineries) gained 2.0% y/y in the last four weeks.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The petroleum demand and inventory figures are from the Oil & Gas Journal Weekly. These data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and greater detail on prices, demand and production, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.
|Weekly Energy Prices||09/19/16||09/12/16||09/05/16||Y/Y %||2015||2014||2013|
|Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular)||2.23||2.20||2.22||-4.4||2.03||2.30||3.33|
|Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ)||44.34||45.96||45.11||-2.5||48.90||93.64||97.96|
|Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ)||3.00||2.85||2.91||11.6||2.62||4.37||3.73|