- Japan: First Ten Days Trade (Mar), International Trade, Foreign Banks Foreign Banks in Japan (Feb)
- New Zealand: Tourism Expenditure, International Reserves, RBNZ Analytical Accounts/Statistical Balance Sheet, Foreign Currency Assets, Liabilities, and Currency Flows (Feb); Australia: Flow of Funds (Q4), Job Vacancies (Q1)
- Korea: Building Permits (Feb); Philippines: LFS (Q3)
- US: IIP (Q4)
- more updates...
Economy in Brief
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U.S. Consumer Confidence Improves Significantly
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U.S. Energy Product Prices Remain Under Pressure
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NABE 2018 Forecast: Modest Improvement in Economic Growth & Higher Inflation
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by Tom Moeller January 13, 2017
The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index increased 0.3% (1.6% y/y) during December after an unrevised 0.4% November rise. The rise matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During all of 2016, prices increased 0.4% after a 0.9% decline in 2015. The PPI excluding food and energy prices rose 0.2% m/m (1.6% y/y) in December, also as expected.
An updated measure of "core" PPI inflation has evolved, known as final demand prices excluding food, energy, and trade services prices. It is available only back to 2014. This measure rose a minimal 0.1% (1.7% y/y) in December following a 0.2% November rise. During all of last year, however, the 1.2% rate of increase was double the 2015 increase. Prices of trade services improved 0.2% (1.0% y/y) following a 1.3% jump.
Prices of final demand goods jumped 0.7% (1.9% y/y). It reflected the strong 2.6% increase (5.9% y/y) in energy prices which followed 0.3% slip. This monthly strength was accompanied by a 0.7% rise (-1.1% y/y) in food prices, which followed a 0.6% increase.
Nondurable goods prices excluding food & energy remained unchanged (+3.5% y/y) for the second month in the last three. Finished durable goods prices increased 0.5% (1.0% y/y) following a 0.1% dip. Private capital goods prices increased 0.4% (0.7% y/y).
Prices of final demand for services notched 0.1% higher (1.5% y/y) following a 0.5% jump. Trade services prices gained 0.2% (0.9% y/y) after a 1.3% strengthening. Prices for transportation of private passengers declined 2.4% (+0.6% y/y), transportation & warehousing costs edged 0.1% higher (-0.1% y/y).
Final demand construction prices eased 0.1%, following a 0.1% rise. The 0.6% y/y increase compares to up to 3.8% increases during the prior five years.
Prices of processed goods for intermediate demand rose 0.5% (1.8% y/y), the fourth consecutive monthly increase.
The PPI data are contained in Haver's USECON database with further detail in PPI and PPIR. The expectations figures are available in the AS1REPNA database.
|Producer Price Index (SA, %)||Dec||Nov||Oct||Dec Y/Y||2016||2015||2014|
|Excluding Food & Energy||0.2||0.4||-0.2||1.6||1.2||0.8||1.7|
|Excluding Food, Energy & Trade Services||0.1||0.2||-0.1||1.7||1.2||0.6||1.2|
|Goods Excluding Food & Energy||0.3||0.2||0.1||1.7||0.8||0.4||1.5|
|Intermediate Demand - Processed Goods||0.5||0.3||0.3||1.8||-3.0||-6.9||0.6|