- Egypt: IP (Feb)
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- US: GDP by Industry (Q4)
- Realtors Confidence Index Survey (Mar)
- US: Existing Home Sales (Mar)
- Manufacturing Survey - Markit US (Flash - Mar), Composite and Services Survey - Markit US (Flash - Mar)
- Mexico: National Employment Survey(Mar)
- *Switzerland: House Price Index - Rebased to Q1-2000=100 (Q1)*
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Economy in Brief
Fresh Six-Year PMI Highs for Euro Area
The 'fresh six-year high' is a pleasant surprise that continues, but...
Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Soften
The Philadelphia Fed reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index fell to 22.0 during April...
U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Suggest Continued Expansion
The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.4% (3.5% y/y) during March...
U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Increase
Initial unemployment claims for unemployment insurance rose to 244,000 during the week ended April 15 (-5.1% y/y)...
Japan's 'Trade Trends' Stabilize on an Unstable Foundation
Japan trade trends, broadly considered, seem to be stabilizing...
U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall
The MBA total Mortgage Applications Volume Index declined 1.8% last week (-24.9% y/y)...
by Tom Moeller March 30, 2017
Initial jobless insurance applications fell to 258,000 (-3.1% y/y) during the week ended March 25 from 261,000 during the prior week, revised from 258,000. Expectations had been for 247,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Despite the weekly decline, the four-week moving average of 254,000 was the highest in three months. During the last ten years, there has been a 74% correlation between the level of initial claims and the m/m change in nonfarm payrolls.
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance in the week ended March 18 increased to 2.052 million (-5.1% y/y) from 1.987 million. The four-week moving average of claimants eased to 2.031 million, the lowest level since June 2000.
The insured unemployment rate ticked higher to 1.5% from 1.4%, but remained near the record low.
Insured rates of unemployment across states continue to vary widely. For the week ended March 11, the lowest rates were in Florida (0.51%), North Carolina (0.58%), Tennessee (0.70%), Georgia (0.72%), South Carolina (0.73%) and Virginia (0.80%). The highest rates were found in California (2.46%), Rhode Island (2.70%), Montana (2.71%), Connecticut (2.80%), New Jersey (2.93%) and Alaska (3.98s%). The state data are not seasonally adjusted.
Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.
|Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s)||03/25/17||03/18/17||03/11/17||Y/Y %||2016||2015||2014|
|Insured Unemployment Rate (%)||--||1.5||1.4||