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Economy in Brief

U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Rebounds
by Tom Moeller  July 10, 2017

Consumer credit outstanding grew $18.42 billion (5.8% y/y) during May following a $12.93 billion rise in April, revised from $8.20 billion. A $12.0 billion May increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During the past ten years, there has been a 49% correlation between the y/y growth in consumer credit and y/y growth in personal consumption expenditures.

Revolving consumer credit balances jumped $7.36 billion (6.1% y/y) after a $1.62 billion rise. Balances at depository institutions (84% of the total) increased 5.7% y/y. Finance company holdings (6% of the total) improved 8.6% y/y, while borrowing from credit unions (5% of the total) advanced 9.6% y/y.

Nonrevolving credit usage held fairly steady, rising $11.04 billion (5.7% y/y) in May after a raised $11.77 billion gain. Federal government borrowing (38% of the total) rose 9.6% y/y. Finance company balances (22% of the total) fell 1.9% y/y. Borrowing from depository institutions (25% of the total) improved 4.9% y/y, and credit union loans (12% of the total) strengthened 11.6% y/y.

These Federal Reserve Board figures are break-adjusted and calculated by Haver Analytics. There is a break in the credit outstanding data from November 2010 to December 2010 due to the Fed's benchmarking process. Benchmark estimates are based on the Census of Finance Companies (CFC) and the Survey of Finance Companies (SFC) conducted in 2010 and 2011, respectively.

The consumer credit data are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics figures are contained in the AS1REPNA database.

Consumer Credit Outstanding (M/M Chg, SA) May Apr Mar May Y/Y 2016 2015 2014
Total $18.42 bil. $12.93 bil. $14.71 bil. 5.8% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2%
   Nonrevolving 11.04 11.77 8.70 5.7 6.5 7.7 8.4
   Revolving 7.36 1.62 6.02 6.1 6.4 5.4 4.0
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