Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Mar 31 2016

Challenger Job Cut Announcements Decline While Hiring Jumps

Summary

The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during March fell to 48,207 (+31.7% y/y) following the prior month's unrevised decline to 61,599. The latest was the lowest level in three [...]


The outplacement firm of Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements during March fell to 48,207 (+31.7% y/y) following the prior month's unrevised decline to 61,599. The latest was the lowest level in three months. Layoffs declined in the automotive, chemical, commodities, computer, electronics, energy, financial, government, industrial goods, insurance, services and transportation industries. Layoffs rose in the aerospace/defense, apparel, consumer products, education, entertainment/leisure, food, health care, legal, media, pharmaceutical, real estate, retail and telecommunications industries. During the last ten years, there has been a 68% correlation between the level of job cut announcements and the m/m change in payroll employment.

Challenger also samples firms' hiring plans. Hiring increased this month to 10,997 (71.5% y/y) after a decline to 7,539 in February. It increased in the aerospace/defense, automotive, chemical, computer, electronics, entertainment/leisure, financial, food, industrial goods, insurance, media, pharmaceutical, retail, services and telecommunications industries. No industries reported hiring declines.

The Challenger figures are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.

Challenger, Gray & Christmas

Mar Feb Jan Mar Y/Y % 2015 2014 2013

Announced Job Cuts

48,207 61,599 75,114 31.7 598,510 483,171 509,051

Announced Hiring Plans

10,997 7,539 8,362 71.5 690,751 821,506 764,206
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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