State Labor Markets in January 2025
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State labor markets were generally little-changed from December to January, but were arguably a bit on the soft side. Four states (Georgia, Indiana, Missouri, and West Virginia) had statistically significant declines in payrolls; moves in all others were not significant., though in some cases were up or down by more than 10,000 (very remarkably, California’s job count was reported at 18,032,400 in both December and January).
Pennsylvania was the only state to report a statistically significant change (up .1 percentage point) in its unemployment rate. The highest unemployment rates were in Nevada (5.8%), California (5.4%), DC (5.3%), Kentucky (5.3%) and Michigan (5.3%)—due to the annual revisions, in some cases the rates look substantially different than the initially reported ones for December (Michigan, for instance, its December rate changed from 5.0% to 5.2%, while the December rate in Illinois moved from 5.2% to 4.9%). Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Vermont had unemployment rates under 3.0%, while South Dakota’s 1.9% was the lowest in the nation.
Puerto Rico’s unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.4%--unusually, lower than the state rate--while the island’s job count moved up by 2,800.
Charles Steindel
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Charles Steindel has been editor of Business Economics, the journal of the National Association for Business Economics, since 2016. From 2014 to 2021 he was Resident Scholar at the Anisfield School of Business, Ramapo College of New Jersey. From 2010 to 2014 he was the first Chief Economist of the New Jersey Department of the Treasury, with responsibilities for economic and revenue projections and analysis of state economic policy. He came to the Treasury after a long career at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where he played a major role in forecasting and policy advice and rose to the rank of Senior Vice-President. He has served in leadership positions in a number of professional organizations. In 2011 he received the William F. Butler Award from the New York Association for Business Economics, is a fellow of NABE and of the Money Marketeers of New York University, and has received several awards for articles published in Business Economics. In 2017 he delivered Ramapo College's Sebastian J. Raciti Memorial Lecture. He is a member of the panel for the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Survey of Professional Forecasters and of the Committee on Research in Income and Wealth. He has published papers in a range of areas, and is the author of Economic Indicators for Professionals: Putting the Statistics into Perspective. He received his bachelor's degree from Emory University, his Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and is a National Association for Business Economics Certified Business EconomistTM.
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