Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jun 21 2011

U.S. Existing Home Sales Fall Further

Summary

The National Association of Realtors reported that forward momentum in the housing market has disappeared. Sales of existing homes during May fell 3.8% to 4.810M from 5.000M in April, revised from 5.050M. The decline followed a 1.8% [...]


The National Association of Realtors reported that forward momentum in the housing market has disappeared. Sales of existing homes during May fell 3.8% to 4.810M from 5.000M in April, revised from 5.050M. The decline followed a 1.8% April drop and roughly matched Consensus expectations, according to Action Economics. Total sales include sales of condos and co-ops. Sales of existing single-family homes alone fell 3.2% (-15.4% y/y) from April to 4.240M. (These data have a longer history than the total sales series.) Sales of condos and co-ops fell 8.1% m/m (-14.7% y/y).

The median price of all existing homes rose 3.4% m/m to $166,500. Nevertheless, prices remained near the lowest level in ten years. The price of a single-family home rose 3.3% last month to $166,700 (-4.5% y/y). Home affordability slipped during May from its record high but remained up more than two-thirds from the 2006 low.

The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability can be found in Haver's USECON database. The regional price, affordability and inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is in the AS1REPNA database.

Existing Home Sales (Thous, SAAR) May Apr Mar Y/Y% 2010 2009 2008
Total 4,810 5,000 5,090 -15.3 4,918 5,149 4,894
  Northeast 770 790 800 -13.5 825 863 848
  Midwest 1,020 1,090 1,060 -22.7 1,076 1,168 1,128
  South 1,850 1,950 1,970 -14.4 1,861 1,907 1,857
  West 1,170 1,170 1,260 -10.0 1,155 1,214 1,062
Single-Family Sales 4,240 4,380 4,440 -15.4 4,311 4,559 4,337
Median Price, Total, ($, NSA) 166,500 161,100 159,800 -4.6 172,442 172,742 197,233
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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