Suppose Congress passes something close to Biden's Administration stimulus proposal of $1.9 trillion. In that case, that will lift the cumulative amount of fiscal stimulus in the past 12 months to $5 trillion---three tranches $2.2 [...]
- Global| Feb 04 2021
Fiscal Stimulus: How Much Is Too Much? Boom/Bust!
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- Global| Feb 03 2021
Economic Performance Has Been OK Despite Difficult Headlines
January was riddled with some troublesome headlines. Political instability engulfed a number of countries including the US, Italy, the Netherlands – and via vaccine concerns – the European Commission. Worries about COVID mutations in [...]
by:Andrew Cates
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- Global| Jan 26 2021
Two Decades of Price Mismeasurement & Policy Confusion
Two decades of price mismeasurement and policy confusion have left everyone bewildered and puzzled over inflation. Inaccuracies in inflation measurement are far from being merely academic; it reopens the fundamental issue of inflation [...]
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- Global| Jan 25 2021
Treasury Deficits/Debt – I Report, You Decide
While I was still trying to "process", as the kids say, the events that took place the Wednesday before, on January 13, the Treasury released its December 2020 budgetary data. In the Calendar Year (CY) 2020, the federal government ran [...]
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- Global| Jan 19 2021
This Is Not A Recovery: Lessons From 1980
The statistical bounce off a record plunge in economic activity linked to the pandemic has proved to be short-lived. The economy is not moving forward in a sustainable way, evident by three consecutive monthly declines in retail [...]
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- Global| Jan 13 2021
Remote Working Limited the Economic Fallout In 2020, And Its Reversal Will Spur Growth In 2021
In December, payroll employment fell 140,000, the first monthly decline since April. The job loss would have been much larger if it were not for the ability of a large number of businesses to offer their employees the ability to work [...]
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- Global| Jan 12 2021
Some Reasons To Be Cheerful
Tinges of optimism that had crept into discussions about the global economic outlook toward the end of last year have given way to more balance and even perhaps heightened pessimism in recent weeks. Rapidly rising case numbers in the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
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- Global| Dec 30 2020
2021 Could Be The Opposite of 2020: Economy Up & Equity Markets Down
2020 has proved to be a wild ride for the economy and finance. The economy posted its sharpest one-quarter decline to be followed by the largest quarterly gain. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Index recorded the 10 largest daily percentage [...]
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