Global| Aug 26 2020Mortgage Loan Applications Fall for Refinancing; Token Rise in Purchase Applications
Summary
• Mortgage demand declines for refinancing. • Applications for fixed-rate loans rose greatly from a year ago while demand for adjustable rates fell. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Applications Index decreased 6.5% in the [...]
• Mortgage demand declines for refinancing.
• Applications for fixed-rate loans rose greatly from a year ago while demand for adjustable rates fell.
The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Applications Index decreased 6.5% in the week ended August 21 (+33.7% y/y). The decline was all in applications to refinance, which fell 10.2% (+34.5% y/y), while applications for purchase loans edged upward 0.4% (+32.5% y/y).
The average mortgage loan size rose $1,100 or 0.3% to $327,900 (-3.4% y/y). The average size of loans to purchase houses fell 0.3% to $366.800 (+12.3% y/y) while those to refinance edged upward just 0.1% to $304,600 (-12.3% y/y).
Interest rates ticked downward slightly, with the 30-year fixed rate at 3.22% in the August 21 week versus 3.23% the week before. The rate on 15-year loans was 2.80%, down from 2.82% the previous week. The 30-year jumbo rate was unchanged at 3.52%. In noticeable contrast, the 5-year adjustable rate advanced 18 basis points from 3.11% to 3.29%, the highest since the May 1 week.
Applications for fixed-rate loans were up 38.7% y/y, while applications for adjustable rate mortgages dropped 42.5% y/y.
The survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYW database.
| MBA Mortgage Applications (%, SA) | 08/21/20 | 08/14/20 | 08/07/20 | Y/Y | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Market Index | -6.5 | -3.3 | 6.8 | 33.7 | 32.4 | -10.4 | -17.8 |
| Purchase | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 32.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 5.6 |
| Refinancing | -10.2 | -5.3 | 9.1 | 34.5 | 71.1 | -24.3 | -34.0 |
| 30-Year Effective Mortgage Interest Rate (%) | 3.22 | 3.23 | 3.16 |
4.03 |
4.34 | 4.94 | 4.32 |
Carol Stone, CBE
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo. At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm. During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.
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