Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Apr 18 2019

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Rebounds But Prices Weaken

Summary

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported in its Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey that the General Business Conditions Index rebounded this month to 13.7 after declining in February to -4.1. The figures from the [...]


The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported in its Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey that the General Business Conditions Index rebounded this month to 13.7 after declining in February to -4.1.

The figures from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve dating back to 1968 can be found in Haver's SURVEYS database. The expectation from the Action Economics Forecast Survey is available in AS1REPNA database.

Philadelphia Fed - Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey (%, SA) Apr Mar Feb Apr'18 2018 2017 2016
General Factory Sector Business Conditions 8.5 13.7 -4.1 23.4 21.1 27.3 4.9
ISM-Adjusted Business Conditions 54.1 54.7 51.9 59.8 57.7 57.3 48.2
  New Orders 15.7 1.9 -2.4 22.2 21.0 25.3 5.0
  Shipments 18.4 20.0 -5.3 25.1 22.8 26.8 6.9
  Unfilled Orders 0.4 3.1 6.9 8.7 7.1 11.9 -5.6
  Delivery Time -5.1 8.8 13.6 18.0 9.5 10.6 -4.6
  Inventories 2.6 17.2 3.3 10.1 7.4 2.9 -9.6
  Number of Employees 14.7 9.6 14.5 26.6 21.6 16.1 -5.6
  Average Workweek 11.2 10.6 4.7 21.2 15.9 14.9 -5.4
  Prices Paid 21.6 19.7 21.8 53.1 46.4 30.4 13.5
Expectations - General Business Conditions; Six Months Ahead 19.1 21.8 31.3 40.9 36.9 47.1 33.7
  • Sandy Batten has more than 30 years of experience analyzing industrial economies and financial markets and a wide range of experience across the financial services sector, government, and academia.   Before joining Haver Analytics, Sandy was a Vice President and Senior Economist at Citibank; Senior Credit Market Analyst at CDC Investment Management, Managing Director at Bear Stearns, and Executive Director at JPMorgan.   In 2008, Sandy was named the most accurate US forecaster by the National Association for Business Economics. He is a member of the New York Forecasters Club, NABE, and the American Economic Association.   Prior to his time in the financial services sector, Sandy was a Research Officer at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Senior Staff Economist on the President’s Council of Economic Advisors, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy at the US Treasury, and Economist at the International Monetary Fund. Sandy has taught economics at St. Louis University, Denison University, and Muskingun College. He has published numerous peer-reviewed articles in a wide range of academic publications. He has a B.A. in economics from the University of Richmond and a M.A. and Ph.D. in economics from The Ohio State University.  

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