Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 02 2020

U.S. Construction Spending Growth Slowed in September; Revisions Mixed in July and August

Summary

• Construction spending increased just 0.3% in September, with August revised down and July revised somewhat higher. • Residential showing consistently sizable increases; nonresidential down three months in a row. • Both state & local [...]


• Construction spending increased just 0.3% in September, with August revised down and July revised somewhat higher.

• Residential showing consistently sizable increases; nonresidential down three months in a row.

• Both state & local gov't and federal gov't construction decrease.

The value of construction put in place rose just 0.3% in September (1.9% year/year), less than the 0.9% projected in the Action Economics forecast survey. The amount of construction activity in August was revised down to an 0.8% gain from 1.1% reported a month ago, while the July total was revised upward to 1.1% from 0.7%.

The slowdown in total construction growth occurred in all major sectors. Private residential construction remained the strongest in month-to-month expansion with a 2.8% increase in September, although less than the 3.3% in August. The September gain raised the year/year advance to 9.9%. Single-family home construction increased 5.7% (+8.2% y/y) in the month, while home improvements actually had an outright decline of 0.4%, although that still left the year/year move at +11.1%.

Private nonresidential construction fell 1.5% in September, the third monthly decline in a row and the largest one. A 5.8% decline year-on-year was the result. Among building use types, only offices (+0.3%) and religious (+2.8%) had increases in the month. The largest decreases were in amusements (-2.7%), power generation (-2.2%) and manufacturing (-2.1%).

In the public sector, state and local government construction fell 1.2% in September (0.1% year/year), the fifth monthly decline in the last six months. The two largest segments of that sector, highway and street construction dropped 5.4% (-2.5% year/year) while education actually rose 2.1% (-0.9% year/year). Federal government building decreased 6.7% in the month, a third consecutive decrease and down 6.1% year/year.

The construction spending figures, some of which date back to 1946 can be found in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics expectations reading is in the AS1REPNA database.

Construction Put in Place (SA, %) Sep Aug Jul Sep Y/Y 2019 2018 2017
Total 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.4 4.2 4.6
  Private 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 0.8 4.0 6.1
    Residential 2.8 3.3 3.9 9.9 -2.4 3.4 12.4
    Nonresidential -1.5 -0.6 -0.1 -5.8 4.5 4.8 -0.7
  Public -1.7 -1.3 -1.7 -0.4 7.8 4.6 -0.1
  • Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo.   At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm.   During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.

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