Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| May 02 2019

U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Steady at 230,000

Summary

After jumping 37,000 in the April 20 week, initial claims for unemployment insurance held steady at 230,000 (8.0% year-on-year) during the week ended April 27. The April 20 number was unrevised. The Action Economics Forecast Survey [...]


After jumping 37,000 in the April 20 week, initial claims for unemployment insurance held steady at 230,000 (8.0% year-on-year) during the week ended April 27. The April 20 number was unrevised. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 215,000 claims. The four-week moving average of initial claims increased to 212,500.

Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose 17,000 to 1.671 million (-5.8% y/y) in the week ending April 20, from 1.654 million in the prior week, which was revised down by 1,000. The four-week moving average of claimants decreased to 1.674 million.

The insured rate of unemployment remained at the record low 1.2%, where it has been since May 2018. Data on the insured unemployment rate go back to 1971.

Insured rates of unemployment vary widely by state. During the week ending April 13, the lowest rates were in Florida and Nebraska (0.40%), North Carolina (0.43%), South Dakota and Tennessee (0.47%) and Virginia (0.50%). The highest rates were in Illinois (1.79%), Connecticut (2.06%), New Jersey (2.11%), California (2.12%) and Alaska (2.55%). Among the other largest states by population not mentioned above, the rate was 0.89% in Texas, 1.36% in New York and 1.74% in Pennsylvania. These state data are not seasonally adjusted.

Data on weekly unemployment claims going back to 1967 are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database, and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.

Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 37,000 to 230,000 (9.5% year-on-year) during the week ended April 20... Continuing claims for unemployment insurance edged up 1,000 to 1.655 million (-9.0% y/y) in the week ending April 13,

Unemployment Insurance (SA, 000s) 04/27/19 04/20/19 04/13/19 Y/Y % 2018 2017 2016
Initial Claims 230 230 193 8.0 220 244 262
Continuing Claims -- 1,671 1,654 -5.8 1,756 1,961 2,135
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) -- 1.2 1.2

1.3
(Apr. 2018)

1.2 1.4 1.6
  • Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo.   At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm.   During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.

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