U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Ease for a Second Week; Supplemental Program Reaches 1.3 Million
Summary
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to 432,000 from 445,000 during the prior week. Consensus expectations had envisioned a slightly smaller decrease. Claims for both last week and the week before were revised [...]
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell last week to 432,000 from 445,000 during the prior week. Consensus expectations had envisioned a slightly smaller decrease. Claims for both last week and the week before were revised downward marginally. The four-week moving average increased to 444,750 (39.3% y/y).
Continuing claims for unemployment insurance edged down 17,000 during the latest week, after increasing 77,000 the week before, which also reflects a slight downward revision. The total number of recipients was 3,362,000; this represented 2.5% of covered employment.
This report included data for a second week of the recently enacted "Emergency Unemployment Compensation" program, a federally funded effort targeting people who have exhausted all other unemployment insurance programs. There were 1,284,252 recipients in the week ended August 2, following 713,968 the prior week. Thus, while the regular state programs showed some reductions among newer beneficiaries, this supplemental program has obviously found a reservoir of necessitous individuals who have been unemployed for quite some time. This is about the same magnitude so far as the number of beneficiaries of a similar temporary program initiated in 2002.
Unemployment Insurance (000s) | 08/16/08 | 08/09/08 | 08/02/08 | Y/Y | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Initial Claims | 432 | 445 | 457 | 32.5% | 322 | 313 | 331 |
Continuing Claims | -- | 3,362 | 3,379 | 30.9% | 2,552 | 2,459 | 2,662 |
Carol Stone, CBE
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo. At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm. During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.