U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Rise in Latest Week

Retail gasoline prices for all grades increased to $3.39 per gallon (-3.1% y/y) in the week ended February 19, 2024 from $3.31 in the prior week. Prices were at the highest level since the third week of November and have risen from a low of $3.18 in the middle of January. The recent high stands at $4.00 per gallon in the third week of September, and the all-time high was $5.11 in the week ended June 13, 2022. Retail prices for on-highway diesel fuel held steady at an average $4.11 per gallon (-6.1% y/y) last week. These are higher than a recent low of $3.77 per gallon in the week ended July 3, 2023.

The price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose to an average $77.90 per barrel (-0.8% y/y) in the week ended February 16 from an average $74.88 in the prior week. It remained increased from a low of $69.37 per barrel in the week of June 30, 2023 but remained below a high of $91.45 in the week of September 29, 2023. The all-time high was seen in the week of July 4, 2008 at $142.46 per barrel. Yesterday, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil was $78. 18 per barrel. The price of European Brent crude oil rose to $84.57 per barrel (-0.5% y/y) in the week ended February 16 from $81.51 in the prior week. The price of Brent has recently ranged from a low of $73.55 in the week ended June 30, 2023 to a high of $127.40 in the week ended June 10, 2022. Yesterday, the price was $84.78 per barrel.

Natural gas prices declined to an average of $1.59/mmbtu (-34.0% y/y) in the week ended February 16 from $1.93/mmbtu in the prior week. It was the lowest price since June 2020. Prices in the latest week compare to a recent high of $3.20 for the average of the October 13 week and matched a low of $1.93 in the week of June 2, 2023. Yesterday, the natural gas price was $1.50/mmbtu.

Gasoline demand declined 1.0% y/y in the four weeks ended February 9 after holding steady y/y in the four weeks ended February 2. Demand for all petroleum products eased 0.3% y/y after falling 0.8% y/y in the prior four-week period. Crude oil input to refineries declined 1.4% y/y in the four weeks ended February 9 after a 2.3% y/y increase in the previous period.

Gasoline inventories increased 2.2% y/y in the week of February 9 following a 4.8% y/y increase in the prior week. Inventories of residual fuel oil fell 10.1% y/y in the week of February 9 after falling 16.1% y/y in the previous week. Crude oil inventories, including the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, decreased 5.3% y/y in the week of February 9 following a 5.0% y/y decline one week earlier.

Measured in days’ supply, gasoline inventories were 30.0 days in the week of February 9 versus 30.3 days in the prior week. The recent low was 23.4 days in the week of June 30, 2023. Crude oil inventories were 29.5 days of supply in the week of February 9, up from 27.7 days in the prior week. These compare to a recent high of 31.9 days in the week of March 3, 2023 and a recent low of 25.0 days in the week of September 1, 2023.

These data are reported by the Energy Information Administration of the U.S. Department of Energy. The price and supply/demand data can be found in Haver’s WEEKLY & USENERGY databases.