Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
USA
| May 03 2023

U.S. Mortgage Applications Declined in the Latest Week

Summary
  • Mortgage applications declined in the week ended April 28.
  • The effective rates on fixed loans eased in the latest week.
  • The average loan size rose in the latest week.

Mortgage loan applications declined 1.2% (-39.1% y/y) in the week ended April 28, following a rise of 3.7% (-36.8% y/y) in the week ended April 21. Applications remain entrenched near their lowest level since early 1997. These data are from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey.

Purchase loan applications declined 2.0% (-32.2% y/y) in the week ended April 28, after they rose 4.6% (-28.0% y/y) in the week ended April 21. Applications to refinance an existing loan rose 0.8% (-50.5% y/y) following a rise of 1.7% (-50.8% y/y) the week prior.

The percentage of applications for refinancing an existing loan rose to 27.2% in the week ended April 28, up from 26.8% in the week ended April 21. The percentage of applications for an ARM loan rose to 7.3% from 6.7 % in the prior week.

The effective interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate loan fell to 6.69% in the week ended April 28 from 6.73% in the week ended April 21. That rate was as high as 7.02% at the beginning of March. The effective rate on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages eased to 6.14% in the week ended April 28 from 6.17% in the prior week. The rate on 30-year Jumbo loans inched lower to 6.53% from 6.55% the prior week. The rate on a 5-year ARM was unchanged at 5.90% in the week ended April 28 from the prior week.

The average loan size rose 2.3% (0.3% y/y) to $393,600 in the week ended April 28. The series high of $401,900 was reached in the week ended May 6, 2022. The average size of a purchase loan increased 2.2% (-1.6% y/y) in the latest week to $441,100. The average loan size to refinance an existing mortgage rose 3.7% (-6.1% y/y) to $266,200.

The Mortgage Bankers Survey covers 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.

  • Kathleen Stephansen is a Senior Economist for Haver Analytics and an Independent Trustee for the EQAT/VIP/1290 Trust Funds, encompassing the US mutual funds sponsored by the Equitable Life Insurance Company. She is a former Chief Economist of Huawei Technologies USA, Senior Economic Advisor to the Boston Consulting Group, Chief Economist of the American International Group (AIG) and AIG Asset Management’s Senior Strategist and Global Head of Sovereign Research. Prior to joining AIG in 2010, Kathleen held various positions as Chief Economist or Head of Global Research at Aladdin Capital Holdings, Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin and Jenrette Securities Corporation.

    Kathleen serves on the boards of the Global Interdependence Center (GIC), as Vice-Chair of the GIC College of Central Bankers, is the Treasurer for Economists for Peace and Security (EPS) and is a former board member of the National Association of Business Economics (NABE). She is a member of Chatham House and the Economic Club of New York. She holds an undergraduate degree in economics from the Universite Catholique de Louvain and graduate degrees in economics from the University of New Hampshire (MA) and the London School of Economics (PhD abd).

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