Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
USA
| May 04 2022

U.S. Mortgage Applications Turn Upward After 7 Weekly Declines

Summary
  • Total applications up 2.5%.
  • Loans to purchase a house rise 4.1%, refinance loans manage 0.2% increase.
  • Mortgage interest rates ease slightly.

The Mortgage Bankers Association's Loan Applications Index rose 2.5% (-49.8% y/y) in the week ended April 29, the first weekly increase since the week ended March 4. The total number of applications had fallen 8.3% in the April 22 week. Applications for purchase rose 4.1% in the latest week, ended April 29 (-11.0% y/y) after falling 7.6% the April 22 week. Application for refinancing edged upward 0.2% in the April 29 week (-70.8% y/y), following a 9.0% w/w drop the week before.

The share of applications for refinancing decreased to 33.9% in the week ended April 29 from 35.0% in the April 22 week and down from 65.4% at the very end of 2021. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity in the April 29 held steady at 9.3% and up modestly from 8.5% in the April 15 week.

Mortgage interest rates paused their uptrend. The effective rate on 30-year fixed-rate loans was almost flat at 5.55% versus 5.56% in the April 22 week. Similarly, the effective rate on 15-year fixed-rate loans ticked down to 4.87% in the April 29 week from 4.88% the week before. The rate on a 5-year ARM also went down 1 basis point to average 4.54% in the latest week. A bit differently, the rate on a Jumbo 30-year loan increased to 5.05% from 5.02%.

Applications for fixed-rate loans turned upward, rising 2.5% in the April 29 week (-52.6% y/y), their first increase since March 4 and following a 9.0% drop in the April 22 week. Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages rose 2.6% (20.4% y/y) in the latest week after decreasing 0.3% the week before.

The average size of a mortgage loan edged down 0.3% in the April 29 week to $392,300 from the previous week’s $393,300. The average size of a loan for purchase was $448,100, down 0.2% from the April 22 week’s $449,100 while the average size of a refinanced loan was $283,600, down 2.1% from the prior week’s $289,700.

This survey covers over 75% of all U.S. retail residential mortgage applications and has been conducted weekly since 1990. Respondents include mortgage bankers, commercial banks, and thrifts. The base period and value for all indexes is March 16, 1990=100. The figures for weekly mortgage applications and interest rates are available in Haver's SURVEYS database.

  • Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo.   At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm.   During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.

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