The employment cost index (ECI) for civilian workers rose 0.7% q/q in 2019 Q3 The employment cost index figures are available in Haver's USECON database. Consensus estimates from the Action Economics survey are in Haver's AS1REPNA [...]
Introducing
Gerald D. Cohen
in:Our Authors
Gerald Cohen provides strategic vision and leadership of the translational economic research and policy initiatives at the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise.
He has worked in both the public and private sectors focusing on the intersection between financial markets and economic fundamentals. He was a Senior Economist at Haver Analytics from January 2019 to February 2021. During the Obama Administration Gerald was Deputy Assistant Secretary for Macroeconomic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Treasury where he helped formulate and evaluate the impact of policy proposals on the U.S. economy. Prior to Treasury, he co-managed a global macro fund at Ziff Brothers Investments.
Gerald holds a bachelor’s of science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University and is a contributing author to 30-Second Money as well as a co-author of Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.
Publications by Gerald D. Cohen
Global| Jan 31 2020TT
- Global| Jan 31 2020
Employment Cost Growth Rangebound
• Overall compensation increased 0.7% in Q4 (2.7% y/y), little changed from recent trends. • Wages and salaries up 0.7% (2.9% y/y) while benefits gain 0.5% (2.2% y/y). The employment cost index (ECI) for civilian workers rose 0.7% in [...]
- Global| Jan 28 2020
TT
The advance reading for November indicated that durable goods orders fell 2.0% m/m (-3.7% y/y) following a 0.2% m/m rise in October, revised down from 0.6%. A 1.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]
• Headline durable goods orders jumped 2.4% in December, failing to make up for the downwardly-revised 3.1% drop in November. • Transportation orders account for the volatility. Excluding transport, orders edged down 0.1%. • Core [...]
• Headline durable goods orders jumped 2.4% in December, failing to make up for the downwardly-revised 3.1% drop in November. • Transportation orders account for the volatility. Excluding transport, orders edged down 0.1%. • Core [...]
- Global| Jan 28 2020
TT
The advance reading for November indicated that durable goods orders fell 2.0% m/m (-3.7% y/y) following a 0.2% m/m rise in October, revised down from 0.6%. A 1.5% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]
- Global| Jan 27 2020
U.S. New Home Sales Edge Down; Revisions Suggest Weaker Trend
• New single-family home sales tick down to 694,000 in December, meaningfully weaker than the expectations of 727,000. • Downward revisions to October and November leave Q4 unchanged from Q3. Sales of new single-family homes declined [...]
- Global| Jan 22 2020
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to Below Trend Growth in Q4
• Activity index declines to -0.35 in December. • Three-month average at -0.23 suggests below trend growth for Q4. • Production and income indicators led the decline. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s National Activity Index [...]
- Global| Jan 22 2020
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to Below Trend Growth in Q4
• Activity index declines to -0.35 in December. • Three-month average at -0.23 suggests below trend growth for Q4. • Production and income indicators led the decline. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s National Activity Index [...]
- Global| Jan 22 2020
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Points to Below Trend Growth in Q4
• Activity index declines to -0.35 in December. • Three-month average at -0.23 suggests below trend growth for Q4. • Production and income indicators led the decline. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index [...]
- Global| Jan 17 2020
OLD TT --- U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in November
Industrial production rebounded in November, rising 1.1% m/m (-0.8% y/y)..... Industrial production and capacity data are included in Haver's USECON database. Additional detail on production and capacity can be found in the IP [...]
- Global| Jan 17 2020
OLD TT TEST U.S. Industrial Production Rebounded in November
• • Industrial production rebounded in November, rising 1.1% m/m (-0.8% y/y).... Industrial production and capacity data are included in Haver's USECON database. Additional detail on production and capacity can be found in the IP [...]
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