Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Feb 04 2025

  U.S. JOLTS: Openings Decline Sharply but Hiring Picks Up in December

  • Job openings drop following upwardly revised November gain.
  • Decline concentrated in professional services & education.
  • Layoffs reverse fall back but continue to trend higher.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 03 2025

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Fall Sharply in January

  • Light truck purchases and auto sales decline together.
  • Both domestic & import sales retreat.
  • Imports' market share eases.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 03 2025

  U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Strengthens in January; Prices Rise

  • Reading improves to highest level in over two years.
  • New orders, production and employment rise.
  • Prices reading jumps to highest level since last May.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 31 2025

  U.S. Core PCE Price Inflation Stays Low in December; Real Spending Gain Remains Firm

  • Price index held in check by modest goods & services price gains.
  • Real spending growth remains firm.
  • Disposable income growth after inflation decelerates.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 30 2025

  U.S. GDP Growth Is Weaker-than-Expected in Q4’24

  • Inventory subtraction is largest since Q1’23; net exports add minimally to growth.
  • Consumer spending growth advances sharply; business investment declines.
  • Price index growth picks up marginally.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 29 2025

  FOMC Holds Steady Targeted Funds Rate Range

  • Rate stability follows three meetings of decline.
  • Economic goals are unchanged.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 29 2025

  U.S. Goods Int’l Trade Deficit Increases to Record in December

  • Deficit widening subtracts substantially from real GDP growth.
  • Exports decline to lowest level since November 2023.
  • Import surge is broad-based.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 28 2025

  Consumer Confidence Declines Further in January; Inflation Expectations Edge Higher

  • Confidence weakens to lowest level in four months.
  • Present situations reading and expectations fall sharply.
  • Inflation and interest rate expectations rise.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 28 2025

  U.S. Energy Prices Decline in Latest Week

  • Gasoline prices slip.
  • Crude oil prices decline sharply.
  • Natural gas prices reverse earlier week’s gain.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 27 2025

  U.S. New Home Sales Rise Further in December; Prices Increase

  • Sales rise to highest level in three months lifting annual sales for a second straight year.
  • Regional sales are mixed.
  • Median sales price stands at five-month high.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 24 2025

  U.S. Existing Homes Sales Continue to Rise in December

  • Sales increase to highest level since February.
  • Existing home sales rise in three of four regions of the country.
  • Median price holds steady.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Jan 23 2025

  U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise in Latest Week

  • Initial jobless claims increase to highest level in six weeks.
  • Continuing claims approach four-week high.
  • The insured unemployment rate remains low.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief