- Energy prices weaken and food prices firm.
- Price gains in core goods pick up.
- Services prices decline.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
USA| Mar 13 2025U.S. PPI Is Unchanged in February; Rise in Core Index Moderates
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Both gauges are roughly half of January increases.
- Core goods & services price gains slow.
- Energy & food price increases weaken.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 12 2025U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in FY 2025
- Federal receipt growth improves.
- Outlay growth surges.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 11 2025U.S. JOLTS: Openings & Hiring Improve in January
- Job openings rise during January following a lessened December decline.
- Increase is concentrated in retail trade & financial industries.
- Hiring improves but separations increase.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 11 2025U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices ease.
- Crude oil prices decline.
- Natural gas costs rebound.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 10 2025FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Index Edges Higher
- Metals prices lead the increase.
- Lumber prices strengthen.
- Crude oil prices decline sharply.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 07 2025U.S. Payroll Employment Growth Picks Up in February, but Earnings Gain Eases & Unemployment Rate Edges Higher
- Job gains remain up from last summer.
- Recent trend in earnings growth remains slightly improved.
- Jobless rate is close to mid-point of past year’s range.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 06 2025U.S. Trade Deficit Deepens in January to Another Record
- Deficit is surprisingly large as petroleum imports surge.
- Goods deficit widens to record, while services surplus was little changed.
- Exports recover half of December’s decline and imports jump.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 05 2025U.S. ISM Services PMI Edges Up in February; Prices Rise
- Total index has trended higher since 2024 low.
- Employment leads upturn; new orders & supplier deliveries edge up.
- Prices Index moves higher.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 05 2025U.S. ADP Payroll Gain Slows in February; Pay Growth Is Mixed
- Employment increase is led by goods-sector hiring. Services hiring growth slows.
- Wage growth for “job stayers” is unchanged but diminished for “job changers.”
- Small business hiring declines while medium & large business employment moves up.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 04 2025U.S. Energy Prices Decline in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices fall sharply.
- Crude oil prices weaken.
- Natural gas costs decline significantly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 03 2025U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Rebound Modestly in February
- Both light trucks & autos recover part of January decline.
- Domestic sales rise, but import sales are mixed.
- Imports' market share slips further.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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