Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Mar 03 2025

  U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Eases as Prices Surge

  • Index suggests modest slowdown.
  • New orders, production & employment readings weaken.
  • Prices index jumps to highest level in three years.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 28 2025

  U.S. Core PCE Price Inflation Is Moderate in January; Real Spending Declines

  • Price index held in check by slower gains in services prices.
  • Real spending reverses December rise.
  • Disposable income surges and savings rate jumps.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 27 2025

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply in January

  • Sales decline to record low.
  • Home sales fall across much of country.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 27 2025

  U.S. GDP Growth Slowdown Is Unrevised in Q4’24

  • Inventory drag on economic growth remains largest in almost two years; net exports add minimally to growth.
  • Sharp gain in consumer spending growth is unrevised while business investment declines.
  • Price index gain is revised up.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 26 2025

  U.S. New Home Sales Decline in January; Prices Surge

  • Sales reverse earlier increase, falling to lowest level in three months. Extremely cold temperatures in much of country may have discouraged home buying.
  • Lower sales are posted across the country except the West.
  • Median sales price near record.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 25 2025

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Plummets in February; Inflation Expectations Surge

  • Confidence weakens to lowest level since last June.
  • Expectations reading falls sharply for third straight month; present situation reading weakens.
  • Inflation and interest rate expectations strengthen.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 25 2025

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed in Latest Week

  • Gasoline prices dip, reversing previous week’s increase.
  • Crude oil prices are little changed.
  • Natural gas prices continue to strengthen.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 24 2025

  Texas Manufacturing Activity & Expectations Deteriorate in February

  • General business activity index falls to lowest point in six months.
  • Production, new orders & employment weaken.
  • Price reading surges but wages & benefits index falls.
  • Future business index falls to nine-month low.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 18 2025

  U.S. Home Builders Index Falls Sharply in February

  • Overall reading is lowest since September.
  • Component measures each fall.
  • Regional indexes all weaken.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 18 2025

  U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index Recovers in February

  • New orders & shipments readings rise, but employment declines.
  • Pricing measures surge.
  • Business expectations deteriorate.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 14 2025

  U.S. Retail Sales Retreat in January

  • Decline is broad-based.
  • Weakness is led by lower vehicle sales.
  • Overall decline is muted by higher gasoline spending.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Feb 14 2025

  U.S. Business Inventories Ease as Sales Increase in December

  • Inventories slip, paced by retailer & wholesale sectors.
  • Sales improvement is broad-based.
  • Inventory/sales ratio falls.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief