- Energy costs drive overall price increase.
- Core goods price gains are minimal.
- Services price gains are solid.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
- USA| Feb 13 2025
U.S. PPI Total & Core Increases Remain Firm in January
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Personal income tax receipts pick up.
- Outlay growth remains strong.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 12 2025
U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Strengthens in January
- Monthly core price gain doubles December rise.
- Goods & services prices both strengthen.
- Energy prices jump while food increase picks up.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Expectations for economy & sales diminish.
- Job openings are steady, but employment plans fall.
- Prices and price expectations decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 11 2025
U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices jump to four-month high.
- Crude oil prices decline.
- Natural gas prices are little changed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Rubber costs surge.
- Lumber & metals prices strengthen.
- Crude oil costs decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Job gain is less than half of December’s rise.
- Earnings growth improves.
- Jobless rate edges down to early-2024 low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 07 2025
U.S. Consumer Credit Surges in December
- Revolving credit posts record rise.
- Nonrevolving credit strengthens.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 06 2025
U.S. Housing Affordability Edges Up in December
- Home prices are little changed & mortgage rates fall.
- Median income improves.
- Affordability improves throughout country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 06 2025
U.S. Productivity Growth Slows in Q4’24
- Annual increase remains below 2023 gain.
- Compensation growth accelerates.
- Quarterly Increase in unit labor costs is strongest since Q1’23.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 05 2025
U.S. ISM Services PMI Declines in January; Prices Moderate
- Total index remains below October high.
- Business Activity index falls to five-month low; new orders weaken but employment firms.
- Prices Index moves lower, reversing sharp December gain.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Feb 05 2025
U.S. ADP Payrolls Firm in January; Pay Increase Improves
- Employment increase is led by service sector hiring.
- Wage gains for “job changers” & “job stayers” are steady.
- Small, medium & large business hiring is firm.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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