Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Nov 20 2023

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Decline Further in October

  • Leading Index continues to portend economic downturn.
  • Stability in Coincident Index follows three months of increase.
  • Lagging Index increase suggests rising economic excess.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 17 2023

  U.S. Housing Starts & Building Permits Improve in October

  • Rise in starts is led by multi-family; single-family gain is modest.
  • Changes are mixed across country.
  • Building permits gain also is paced by multi-family.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 17 2023

  U.S. E-Commerce Sales Increase Again in Q3'23

  • Online sales remain on moderate growth path this year.
  • Nonstore retail sales are strong y/y.
  • Furniture, electronics & other consumer durables sales fall y/y.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 16 2023

  U.S. Industrial Production Declines in October

  • Factory output decline led by sharp drop in autos.
  • Other industry performance is mixed.
  • Capacity utilization falls to four-month low.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 16 2023

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Decline in October

  • Import price weakness is broad-based.
  • Export price movement is mixed.
  • Fuels prices decline sharply.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 15 2023

  U.S. Retail Sales Ease in October; Nonauto Sales Edge Higher

  • Motor vehicle sales decline.
  • Sales of core goods slow.
  • Gasoline sales fall with lower prices.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 15 2023

  U.S. Business Inventories Rise Steadily While Sales Increase in September

  • Retail inventories rise strongly while wholesale & factory inventories edge higher.
  • Wholesale sales surge; factory shipments moderate.
  • Business sector inventory-to-sales ratio eases.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 14 2023

  U.S. CPI Holds Steady in October; Core Inflation Moderate

  • Energy prices decline; food price rise is modest.

  • Core goods prices slip again; service prices moderate.

  • Goods & service price weakness is widespread.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 14 2023

  U.S. Energy Prices Weaken

  • Gasoline & diesel fuel prices decline.

  • Crude oil prices fall further.

  • Natural gas prices retreat

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 13 2023

  U.S. Gov’t Budget Deficit Narrows to Start FY’24

  • Smaller monthly deficit follows deepening during FY’23.

  • Revenues rise y/y as individual & corporate tax receipts strengthen.

  • Outlay growth resumes with broad-based increases

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 09 2023

  U.S. Housing Affordability Improves in September

  • Principal & interest payments fall.
  • Mortgage rates rise further.
  • Median sales price of single-family home declines sharply.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Nov 09 2023

  U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Edge Lower in Latest Week

  • Decline compares to upwardly revised level in the prior week.
  • Continuing claims continue to strengthen.
  • Insured unemployment rate holds steady.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief