Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Jul 14 2023
U.S. Import and Export Prices Fall in June
Prices of non-oil imports decline broadly.

Imported fuel prices rise after sharp decline.

Export price movement is mixed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 14 2023
U.S. Housing Affordability Falls Sharply in May
Home price increase remains strong.

Mortgage rates rise.

Income recovers earlier decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 13 2023
U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in June
Year-to-date, the deficit widens drastically.

Revenues decline so far this year with lower individual & corporate tax receipts.

Outlay growth is strong as Medicare & Social Security payments rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 13 2023
U.S. PPI Edges Higher in June; Core Prices Also Rise Minimally
Annual gain is weakest since late-2020.

Core goods & services prices both post lessened y/y increases.

Food prices ease but energy prices rise m/m.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 12 2023
U.S. CPI & Core Prices Increase Modestly in June
Core goods prices ease; service price gains moderate.

Core prices less shelter steady.

Food & energy prices improve.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 11 2023
NFIB Small Business Optimism Improves in June
Business expansion sentiment & sales expectations improve.

Employment readings deteriorate.

Price & wage readings are mixed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 11 2023
U.S. Gasoline & Oil Prices Move Up
Gasoline prices edge higher from three-week low.

Crude oil prices increase.

Natural gas prices decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 10 2023
Consumer Credit Growth Diminishes in May
Nonrevolving credit balances decline.

Revolving credit usage softens.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 10 2023
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Are Little Changed in May
Inventories of durable goods increase, while those of nondurables decline.

Sales fall slightly as nondurable goods purchases weaken; durables sales rise.

Inventory-to-sales ratio edges higher.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 07 2023
U.S. Employment Growth Disappoints in June; Earnings Gain Steadies & Unemployment Rate Slips
Payroll gain follows downwardly revised May estimate.

Earnings growth remains stable.

Jobless rate eases as household employment rebounds.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 06 2023
U.S. ISM Services PMI Increases Sharply in June
Composite index improves to highest level in four months.

Business activity & employment readings strengthen.

Prices index continues to decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jul 06 2023
U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinks in May
Decline reverses some of prior month’s widening.

Exports ease but imports fall sharply.

Goods trade deficit lessens; services surplus increases sharply.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief