Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Jun 06 2023
U.S. Energy Product Prices Fall in Latest Week
Gasoline prices reverse prior week’s increase.

Crude oil & natural gas prices decline sharply.

Petroleum demand increases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 05 2023
U.S. ISM Services PMI Falls Below Expectations in May
Composite index declines to lowest level in six months.

Each component series weakens.

Prices index falls to three-year low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 02 2023
U.S. Jobs Growth Improves in May but Unemployment Rate Rises; Earnings Gain Slips
Surprising payroll gain follows upwardly revised estimates.

Earnings growth slips.

Jobless rate increases to seven-month high.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 01 2023
U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Decline in May
Light truck sales lead latest downturn.

Imports' market share eases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 01 2023
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Slips in May
Index remains above March low.

Orders decline offsets improvement in employment & production.

Price index decline reverses earlier strength.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 01 2023
ADP Employment Remains Strong but Earnings Growth Eases in May
Pay increases moderate, notably for “job changers.”

Small business employment firms.

Natural resource & mining, leisure & construction remain strong.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 31 2023
U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Tumbles in May
Index falls back to lowest level since November.

Component declines are widespread.

Prices paid index falls to three-year low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 31 2023
U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Edge Higher in Latest Week
Gasoline prices rise to four-week high.

Natural gas prices fall.

Petroleum demand moves higher, especially for crude oil and gasoline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 30 2023
U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates in May
Expectations decline to ten-month low.

Present situation index reverses earlier increase.

Inflation expectations ease slightly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 30 2023
U.S. FHFA House Prices Continue to Firm in March
Monthly gains are uneven throughout most regions of country.

Year-to-year home price gains have moderated.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 26 2023
U.S. Consumer Spending Is Surprisingly Strong in April
Spending on goods declines; service outlays increase.

Real disposable income improves.

Core price inflation weakens further.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| May 25 2023
U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up in Q1’23; Profits Decline
Inventories continue to subtract substantially from growth.

Consumer spending stays strong as auto buying surges; business investment slows.

Price index is unrevised & firm.

After-tax profitability declines again.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief