Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 31 2005

  U.S. Personal Income Lifted By Insurance Payments

  Insurance payments following hurricanes Katrina and Rita rose $120B (AR) and lifted personal income by 1.7% in September after a 0.9% August decline that was much deeper than initially reported. It was the largest monthly increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 31 2005

  U.S. Personal Income Lifted By Insurance Payments

  Insurance payments following hurricanes Katrina and Rita rose $120B (AR) and lifted personal income by 1.7% in September after a 0.9% August decline that was much deeper than initially reported. It was the largest monthly increase in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2005

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Lowest Since 1992

  The October reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan settled at 74.2. That was down marginally from the mid-month reading of 75.4 but it was down 3.5% from September which fell 13.7% from August. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2005

  Employment Cost Index Boosted By Benefit Costs

  The employment cost index for private industry workers rose 0.8% last quarter. The increase was up from the 0.6% 2Q gain and equaled Consensus expectations.Year to year, the ECI's gain of 3.0% was the slowest since early 1999. Benefit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2005

  US 3Q GDP Grew 3.8%

  US real GDP grew 3.8% (AR) last quarter and slightly beat Consensus expectations for 3.6% growth. That strength versus 3.3% growth during 2Q '05 came despite an unspecified subtraction (perhaps 0.2 percentage points) due to Hurricanes [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 28 2005

  US 3Q GDP Grew 3.8%

  US real GDP grew 3.8% (AR) last quarter and slightly beat Consensus expectations for 3.6% growth. That strength versus 3.3% growth during 2Q '05 came despite an unspecified subtraction (perhaps 0.2 percentage points) due to Hurricanes [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Again Down Sharply

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 28,000 to 328,000 last week versus a little revised 35,000 decline during the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 340,000 claims. The four-week moving average of initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2005

  Help-Wanted Advertising Edged Up

  The Index of Help-Wanted Advertising from the Conference Board edged up in September to 39 from 38 in August which was upwardly revised. During the last ten years there has been a 61% correlation between the level of help-wanted [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2005

  New Home Sales Up, Northeast & West Down

  New single-family home sales edged up 2.1% last month to 1.222M but that followed an 11.6% drop in August which was deeper than estimated initially. Consensus expectations had been for 1.25M sales in September. Sales fell a sharp [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2005

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Off

  A 41.6% m/m decline in nondefense aircraft orders combined with a 3.5% drop in defense aircraft bookings to pull total orders for durable goods down 2.1% last month. The 3.8% rise in August orders was upwardly revised and Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 27 2005

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Off

  A 41.6% m/m decline in nondefense aircraft orders combined with a 3.5% drop in defense aircraft bookings to pull total orders for durable goods down 2.1% last month. The 3.8% rise in August orders was upwardly revised and Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 26 2005

  MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Further

  The 3Q '05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 66 from 68 the prior quarter. The latest is the lowest level since 2Q '03. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation between [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief