Chain store sales surged 2.0% during the opening week of February and recovered all of the prior week's sharp 1.1% decline, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. As a result of the jump, sales [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Feb 07 2006Chain Store Sales Up, Gasoline Prices Down
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 07 2006JOLTS: More U.S. Job Openings, Less Hiring?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the job openings rate, from the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), rose again in December as the US job market firmed further. The rate rose to 2.9% from 2.8% in November and [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 06 2006Gold & Oil Prices Higher Still
Friday's gold price of $569 per ounce underscored concerns that inflationary price pressures continue to build. Since 1980 there has been a 66% correlation between the level of gold prices and the y/y change in consumer prices. Gold [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 06 2006Gold & Oil Prices Higher Still
Friday's gold price of $569 per ounce underscored concerns that inflationary price pressures continue to build. Since 1980 there has been a 66% correlation between the level of gold prices and the y/y change in consumer prices. Gold [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 03 2006U.S. Factory Inventory Accumulation Slowed
Factory inventories grew 0.5% during December following an upwardly revised 0.3% increase during November. During the year, the rate of inventory accumulation slowed to 4.3% from 7.7% during 2004. The rise last year in oil prices [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 03 2006U.S. Consumer Sentiment Slipped Late in January
The University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment for all of January fell a slight 0.3% from December to 91.2. The decline was due to a fall late in the month and compared to an initial read of 93.4. Consensus expectations [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 03 2006ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Fell
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector fell last month to 56.8 from an upwardly revised 61.0 in December. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 03 2006U.S. Payrolls Just Below Expectations, Jobless Rate Lowest Since 2001
In January, non-farm payrolls rose 193,000 following a December increase revised to 140,000 from the 108,000 reported last month. In addition, the November increase was revised up further 354,000 from last month's reported 305,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 03 2006U.S. Payrolls Just Below Expectations, Jobless Rate Lowest Since 2001
In January, non-farm payrolls rose 193,000 following a December increase revised to 140,000 from the 108,000 reported last month. In addition, the November increase was revised up further 354,000 from last month's reported 305,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 02 2006Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell
Initial claims for unemployment insurance reversed the prior week's little revised gain and fell 11,000 to 273,000. Consensus expectations had been for an increase to 295,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 02 2006Challenger Layoffs Retreated
Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that January job cut announcements reversed about half of the rise in December and fell 4.0% to 103,466. Like the December report, one industry dominated the monthly total. Auto industry layoff [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 02 2006U.S. Productivity Fell During 4Q '05
Non-farm labor productivity fell last quarter after a revised 4.5% increase during 3Q. It was the first decline in output per hour since 1Q '01 and followed an average gain of 3.7% during the prior ten quarters. Consensus expectations [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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