Global| Jun 10 2014U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Meander Sideways
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The price for a gallon of regular gasoline slipped to $3.67 last week (0.5% y/y) versus $3.69 to begin the month of June. The price has been near the current level since April and remained down from the $3.78 per gallon peak reached [...]
The price for a gallon of regular gasoline slipped to $3.67 last week (0.5% y/y) versus $3.69 to begin the month of June. The price has been near the current level since April and remained down from the $3.78 per gallon peak reached in February of last year. To account for seasonal volatility, Haver Analytics constructs factors for adjustment of pump prices. The adjusted cost of gasoline rose one penny to $3.50 per gallon, the highest level since late-February.
The per barrel cost of WTI crude oil fell last week to $102.84 (+9.1% y/y). The seasonally adjusted price of $102.39 per barrel remained up sharply from $92.19 in early May. Yesterday, prices increased to $104.41. Brent crude oil prices slipped last week to $109.12 (+6.0% y/y) and yesterday were $110.43 per barrel.
Natural gas prices improved to $4.60 per mmbtu (17.4% y/y) and were roughly steady at $4.66 yesterday.
The demand for all petroleum products improved 2.7% y/y last week. Gasoline demand increased 5.4% y/y. Residual fuel oil needs, used for heating, declined by two-thirds y/y while distillate demand gained 6.9% y/y. Inventories of crude oil and petroleum products were off 1.0% y/y and gasoline inventories fell 3.2% y/y.
The energy price data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy and can be found in Haver's WEEKLY database. The daily figures are in DAILY and the petroleum demand and inventory figures are in OILWKLY.
| Weekly Energy Prices | 06/09/14 | 06/02/14 | 05/26/14 | Y/Y% | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon, Regular) | 3.67 | 3.69 | 3.67 | 0.5 | 3.51 | 3.62 | 3.52 |
| Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl., WSJ) | 102.84 | 103.62 | 103.82 | 9.1 | 97.95 | 94.20 | 95.14 |
| Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, WSJ) | 4.60 | 4.52 | 4.49 | 17.4 | 3.73 | 2.75 | 3.99 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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