Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Apr 28 2016

U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise

Summary

Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased to 257,000 during the week ended April 23 after falling to 248,000 in the prior week, revised from 247,000. Expectations were for 255,000 applications in the Action Economics [...]


Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased to 257,000 during the week ended April 23 after falling to 248,000 in the prior week, revised from 247,000. Expectations were for 255,000 applications in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The four-week moving average of claims declined to 256,000, its lowest level of the economic recovery.

In the week ending April 16, continuing claims for unemployment insurance eased to 2.130 million (-5.5% y/y) from 2.135 million. The four-week moving average fell to 2.158 million, a new low for the economic expansion.

The insured rate of unemployment remained at 1.6%, the low point of the economic recovery.

Insured rates of unemployment across states continued to vary. Near the low end of the range were South Dakota (0.48%), Florida (0.60%), North Carolina (0.64%), South Carolina (0.76%), Tennessee (0.81 %) and Virginia (0.83%). At the high end of the scale were Illinois (2.34%), Massachusetts (2.36%), Connecticut (2.48%), Pennsylvania (2.62%), New Jersey (2.68%) and Alaska (4.00%). The state data are not seasonally adjusted.

Data on weekly unemployment insurance are contained in Haver's WEEKLY database and they are summarized monthly in USECON. Data for individual states are in REGIONW. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics survey, carried in the AS1REPNA database.

Unemployment Insurance (000s) 04/23/16 04/16/16 04/09/16 Y/Y 2015 2014 2013
Initial Claims 257 248 253 -2.2% 277 307 342
Continuing Claims -- 2,130 2,135 -5.5% 2,268 2,607 2,978
Insured Unemployment Rate (%) -- 1.6 1.6

1.7
(Apr. 2015)

1.7 2.0 2.3
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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