Consumer Credit Balances Grow in June
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
- Nonrevolving credit usage jumps.
- Revolving credit borrowing slips.
Consumer credit grew $17.8 billion (5.7% y/y) during June after increasing $9.4 billion in May, revised from a $7.2 billion gain. A $12.5 billion rise in June had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The ratio of consumer credit outstanding to disposable personal income held steady at 25.1%.
Nonrevolving credit balances, which reflect secured and unsecured credit for big-ticket items, such as autos, mobile homes, trailers, durable goods & vacations, rose $18.5 billion (4.0% y/y) following a $1.0 billion May gain, revised from a $1.3 billion decline. Bank borrowing grew a lessened 2.3% y/y while finance company loans rose an increased 4.1% y/y. Credit union loans rose a diminished 11.7% y/y while Federal government loans increased a steady 2.5% y/y.
Revolving credit eased $0.6 billion (+11.2% y/y) during June after increasing an unrevised $8.5 billion in May. Credit card balances grew a lessened 12.1% y/y but finance company loans fell 6.8% y/y. Credit union borrowing gained 14.2% y/y.
Student loan borrowing grew 1.2% y/y during Q2’23 while the value of motor vehicle loans increased 6.1% y/y.
The Federal Reserve Board consumer credit figures are break-adjusted and calculated by Haver Analytics. The breaks in the series in 2005, 2010 and 2015 are the result of the incorporation of data from the Census and the Survey of Finance Companies, as well as changes in the seasonal adjustment methodology. The consumer credit data are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economics forecast figures are contained in the AS1REPNA database.
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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