Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
USA
| Nov 01 2023

FOMC Holds Funds Rate Steady as Expected

Summary
  • Federal funds rate range remains at 5.25% - 5.50%.
  • Rate stays at highest level since March 2001.
  • Fed keeps focus on inflation reduction.

At today’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target range for the Federal funds rate was left unchanged at 5.25% - 5.50%. It was raised from a range of 5.00% - 5.25% in August. The rate has been lifted from close to zero in March 2022. Today’s action was as expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.

Each member of the FOMC voted in favor of today’s action.

The Committee’s characterization of economic growth went from “solid” at the last meeting to “strong.” Text accompanying today’s meeting indicated, “Recent indicators suggest that economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter. Job gains have moderated since earlier in the year but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated.”

The Fed went on to state, “The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. Tighter financial and credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The extent of these effects remains uncertain. The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.”

In addition, the Fed again wrote, “The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in its previously announced plans. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.”

  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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