Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
USA
| Jun 14 2023

FOMC Leaves Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

Summary
  • Federal funds rate is unchanged in a range of 5.00% to 5.25%.
  • Rate is highest since August 2007.
  • Economic projections add to real growth & inflation this year.

At today’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, the target for the federal funds rate was left unchanged in a range of 5.00%-5.25%, leaving the rate at its highest level since August 2007.

In a statement accompanying today’s meeting, the Fed indicated that additional action may be forthcoming. “Holding the target range steady at this meeting allows the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy.”

The Fed released new economic projections, stating that “tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are likely to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation. The extent of these effects remains uncertain. The Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.”

The statement also indicated that “the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in its previously announced plans.”

Each member of the FOMC voted in favor of today’s action.

The press release for today’s FOMC meeting can be found here.

There were three significant changes to the Fed’s economic projections at this meeting. The first was to raise expected GDP growth this year (4Q/4Q) to 1.0% from 0.4%, then continuing at a little-changed 1.1% next year and 1.8% in 2025. The second was to lower the expected unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of this year to 4.1% from 4.5%, then 4.5% at yearend in both of the next two years. The third was to raise expected core PCE inflation this year to 3.9% (4Q/4Q) from 3.6%, then a little-changed 2.6% next year and 2.2% in 2025.

  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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