Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• 

  USA| Sep 19 2023

  U.S. Energy Prices Increase

  • Gasoline & diesel fuel prices strengthen.
  • Crude oil prices continue to improve from March low.
  • Natural gas prices increase.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 18 2023

  U.S. Home Builders Index Plunges in September

  • Unexpected decline brings index to five-month low.
  • Buyer traffic drops to lowest since February.
  • Regional weakness is broad-based.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 15 2023

  U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens in August

  • Utilities output leads gain.
  • Capital goods output increases, but consumer product production falls.
  • Capacity utilization edges higher.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 15 2023

  U.S. Import and Export Prices Strengthen Unexpectedly in August

  • Import price gains led by fuels.
  • Excluding fuels, import prices slipped.
  • Export price rise centered on nonagricultural products.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 14 2023

  U.S. Retail Sales Rise in August, Led by Gasoline Sales

  • Sales of core goods increase minimally.
  • Online buying is little changed.
  • Gasoline sales rise sharply with higher prices.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 14 2023

  U.S. Business Inventories Hold Steady in July While Sales Rise

  • Retail inventories rise modestly but wholesale inventories decline.
  • Retail, wholesale & factory sales strengthen.
  • Business sector inventory-to-sales ratio eases.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 13 2023

  U.S. Government Runs Unexpected Budget Surplus in August

  • Year-to-date, the deficit remains increased versus FY’22.
  • Revenues continue to decline as individual tax receipts fall.
  • Outlay growth slows with lower health program payments.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 13 2023

  U.S. CPI Strengthens in August; Core Price Rise Picks Up

  • Energy price jump fuels increase while food prices rise modestly.
  • Core goods prices slip, but services prices gain steadily.
  • Used car prices fall but rents & medical care costs rise.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 12 2023

  NFIB Small Business Optimism Slips in August

  • Expectations about the state of the economy & sales ease.
  • Employment readings are mixed.
  • Price readings improve.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 12 2023

  U.S. Gasoline & Oil Prices Strengthen

  • Gasoline prices edge higher while diesel fuel prices strengthen.
  • Crude oil prices surge to roughly one-year high.
  • Natural gas prices weaken.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 01 2023

  U.S. Payroll Growth in August Bests July’s, but Earnings Growth Is Negligible and Unemployment Rate Jumps

  • July & June payroll readings are revised significantly lower.
  • Earnings growth is weakest in 18 months.
  • Jobless rate jumps; labor force growth surges but job growth is moderate.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• 

  USA| Sep 01 2023

  U.S. Construction Spending Firms in July

  • Residential building strengthens for third straight month.
  • Nonresidential building edges higher.
  • Public sector building declines.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief