The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) indicated that its Small Business Optimism Index for March fell 2.7% to 104.7 (unchanged from a year ago). The level of optimism hit a 35-year high in February and the March [...]
Introducing
Gerald D. Cohen
in:Our Authors
Gerald Cohen provides strategic vision and leadership of the translational economic research and policy initiatives at the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise.
He has worked in both the public and private sectors focusing on the intersection between financial markets and economic fundamentals. He was a Senior Economist at Haver Analytics from January 2019 to February 2021. During the Obama Administration Gerald was Deputy Assistant Secretary for Macroeconomic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Treasury where he helped formulate and evaluate the impact of policy proposals on the U.S. economy. Prior to Treasury, he co-managed a global macro fund at Ziff Brothers Investments.
Gerald holds a bachelor’s of science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University and is a contributing author to 30-Second Money as well as a co-author of Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.
Publications by Gerald D. Cohen
Global| Apr 04 2018U.S. Factory Orders Rebound; Shipments Hit a Record High
Manufacturers' orders rebounded 1.2% (+7.1% year-on-year) during February following a 1.3% decline in January. Manufacturing shipments increased 0.2% (+6.1% y/y) to a record high $501 billion. Shipments have risen for 11 consecutive [...]
- Global| Mar 16 2018
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings, Hires and Layoffs Rise
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate jumped to 4.1% in January, matching the record rate reached in the middle of last year. The hiring rate rose to 3.8%. Over the last three years the hiring rate [...]
- Global| Mar 15 2018
Empire State Manufacturing Index Rebounds
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions jumped 9.4 points in March to 22.5 from 13.1 in February. This reading was well above the median expectation of 15.0 from the in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]
- Global| Mar 14 2018
U.S. Producer Prices Continue Upward Trend
The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index using new methodology increased 0.2% in February following a 0.4% gain in January. The year-on-year (y/y) growth edged up to 2.8%. A 0.1% February rise had been expected in the Action [...]
- Global| Mar 01 2018
U.S. Construction Spending Unchanged; Components Mixed
The value of construction put-in-place was unchanged during January (3.2% y/y) following upwardly revised increases of 1.2% and 0.8% in November and December (these were previously reported as 0.6% and 0.7% respectively). A 0.2% gain [...]
- Global| Feb 28 2018
U.S. Pending Home Sales Cool
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending home sales fell 4.7% (-3.8% y/y) in January to an index level of 104.6 (2001=100). This is the lowest level since October 2014 and is down 7.5% from its current-cycle [...]
- Global| Feb 15 2018
Empire State Manufacturing Index Slides; Individual Components Mixed
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions slid 4.6 points in February to 13.1, well below the median expectations of 18.0 from the in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. This is the lowest level since July [...]
- Global| Feb 15 2018
U.S. Producer Prices Trend Upward
The headline Final Demand Producer Price Index using new methodology increased 0.4% in January following an unchanged reading in December. The year-on-year (y/y) gain edged up to 2.7%. A 0.3% January rise had been expected in the [...]
- Global| Feb 06 2018
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Hiring Rates Erode
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate in November fell to 3.8%, its lowest level in six months. The hiring rate also fell slightly to 3.7% from the expansion high of 3.8%. These figures are from the [...]
- Global| Feb 06 2018
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Hiring Rates Erode
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate in November fell to 3.8%, its lowest level in six months. The hiring rate also fell slightly to 3.7% from the expansion high of 3.8%. These figures are from the [...]
- Global| Feb 06 2018
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Layoffs Edge Down; Hiring Unchanged
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate in December notched down to 3.8% from 3.9% in November. At the end of 2016 the job openings rate was 3.7%. The hiring rate was unchanged at 3.7%, slightly higher [...]
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