Retail gasoline prices ticked up to $2.61 per gallon last week (-5.4% year-on-year) from $2.60 in the previous week, Gasoline prices have been range-bound since early August. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]
Introducing
Gerald D. Cohen
in:Our Authors
Gerald Cohen provides strategic vision and leadership of the translational economic research and policy initiatives at the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise.
He has worked in both the public and private sectors focusing on the intersection between financial markets and economic fundamentals. He was a Senior Economist at Haver Analytics from January 2019 to February 2021. During the Obama Administration Gerald was Deputy Assistant Secretary for Macroeconomic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Treasury where he helped formulate and evaluate the impact of policy proposals on the U.S. economy. Prior to Treasury, he co-managed a global macro fund at Ziff Brothers Investments.
Gerald holds a bachelor’s of science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University and is a contributing author to 30-Second Money as well as a co-author of Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.
Publications by Gerald D. Cohen
Global| Nov 01 2019TT
The value of construction put-in-place improved 0.1% (-1.9% y/y) during August........... The construction spending figures, some of which date back to 1946, are in Haver's USECON database. The expectations reading can be found in the [...]
- Global| Nov 01 2019
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Weakness continues in the factory sector. The ISM manufacturing index fell to 47.8 during September........ The ISM figures are diffusion indexes where a reading above 50 indicates expansion. The figures from the Institute for Supply [...]
- Global| Nov 01 2019
U.S. Construction Spending Grows; Previous Months Net Revised Higher
The value of construction put-in-place grew a greater-than-expected 0.5% in September (-1.8% year-on-year) with net upward revisions in previous months. While August was revised down to a 0.3% decline (was +0.1%), July was revised [...]
- Global| Nov 01 2019
ISM Manufacturing Index Increases But Stays Below 50-Growth Level
The ISM manufacturing index increased to 48.3 in October from September's cycle low of 47.8. The Action Economics Forecast Survey anticipated an increase to 49.0. According to the ISM press release, the October reading is consistent [...]
The ADP National Employment Report count of private nonfarm payrolls increased a slightly-greater-than-expected 125,000 in October (1.5% year-on-year) following a downwardly-revised 93,000 gain in September (was 135,000). The August [...]
The ADP National Employment Report count of private nonfarm payrolls increased a slightly-greater-than-expected 125,000 in October (1.5% year-on-year) following a downwardly-revised 93,000 gain in September (was 135,000). The August [...]
- Global| Oct 17 2019
U.S. Housing Retreat from 12-Year High
Building activity retraced some of last month’s strength. Housing starts fell a greater-than-expected 9.4% in September (+1.6% year-on-year) to 1.256 million-unit annual rate, from an upwardly-revised 1.386 million in August. The [...]
- Global| Oct 17 2019
U.S. Housing Retreats from 12-Year High
Building activity retraced some of last month's strength. Housing starts fell a greater-than-expected 9.4% in September (+1.6% year-on-year) to 1.256 million-unit annual rate, from an upwardly-revised 1.386 million in August. The [...]
- Global| Oct 04 2019
U.S. Trade Deficit Widens in August
The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services widened a bit more than expected to $54.9 billion in August from an unrevised $54.0 billion in July. The Action Economics Forecast Survey anticipated $54.6 billion. Exports rose by 0.2% [...]
- Global| Oct 03 2019
U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing and Composite Indexes Erase Last Month's Rise
The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) fell more than expected to 52.6 during September from 56.4 in August. July's reading was 53.7. September's index is the weakest in [...]
- Global| Sep 27 2019
U.S. Durable Goods Orders Increase While Core Capital Goods Decline
Manufacturers' orders for durable goods rose 0.2% in August (-3.0% year-on-year) following a 2.0% increase of in July. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected a 1.0% decline. Orders in the transportation sector decreased 0.4% [...]
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