• Factory orders growth decelerated to 0.7% in August. • Shipments down to 0.3%. • Order backlogs continue to get filled while inventories were unchanged. Manufacturers' orders slowed more than expected in August growing just 0.7% [...]
Introducing
Gerald D. Cohen
in:Our Authors
Gerald Cohen provides strategic vision and leadership of the translational economic research and policy initiatives at the Kenan Institute of Private Enterprise.
He has worked in both the public and private sectors focusing on the intersection between financial markets and economic fundamentals. He was a Senior Economist at Haver Analytics from January 2019 to February 2021. During the Obama Administration Gerald was Deputy Assistant Secretary for Macroeconomic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Treasury where he helped formulate and evaluate the impact of policy proposals on the U.S. economy. Prior to Treasury, he co-managed a global macro fund at Ziff Brothers Investments.
Gerald holds a bachelor’s of science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Economics from Harvard University and is a contributing author to 30-Second Money as well as a co-author of Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.
Publications by Gerald D. Cohen
Global| Oct 02 2020Factory Orders and Shipments Slow in August After Three Strong Months
- Global| Oct 01 2020
Strong Growth in U.S. Construction in August; Meaningful Upward Revisions to Previous Months
• Construction spending increased 1.4% in August with June and July now showing healthy gains. • Residential jumps 3.7%; continued weakness in nonresidential. • The 2.0% decline in construction since February looks similar to previous [...]
- Global| Sep 30 2020
Small Upward Revision to GDP Still Leaves Q2 with Record Quarterly Decline
• Q2 GDP collapses at a 31.4% annual rate in third estimate versus -31.7% in previous take. • Consumption and housing revised up; capex, government and trade down. • This release now includes GDP by industry which will now be [...]
- Global| Sep 17 2020
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Decline; Continuing Claims Range-bound
• Seasonally adjusted state initial claims declined to 860,000 in the week ending September 12. Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims down to 790,021. • While all measures of state initial claims are at their lowest [...]
- Global| Sep 17 2020
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Decline; Continuing Claims Range-bound
• Seasonally adjusted state initial claims declined to 860,000 in the week ending September 12. Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims down to 790,021. • While all measures of state initial claims are at their lowest [...]
- Global| Sep 17 2020
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Decline; Continuing Claims Range-bound
• Seasonally adjusted state initial claims declined to 860,000 in the week ending September 12. Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims down to 790,021. • While all measures of state initial claims are at their lowest [...]
- Global| Sep 17 2020
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Decline; Continuing Claims Range-bound
• Seasonally adjusted state initial claims declined to 860,000 in the week ending September 12. Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims down to 790,021. • While all measures of state initial claims are at their lowest [...]
- Global| Sep 16 2020
U.S. Business Inventory Slide Halted in July
• Business inventories edged up 0.1% in July after six consecutive monthly declines. • Sales jump 3.2%, but still 1.9% below January peak. • Inventory-to-Sales ratio falls to six-year low. Total business inventories ticked up 0.1% in [...]
- Global| Sep 15 2020
U.S. Oil Prices Head Lower
• Crude oil prices decline to lowest level since June. • Gasoline prices edge down. The price for a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell to an average of $37.39 per barrel (-33.4% y/y) in the week ended September 11. It [...]
- Global| Sep 10 2020
U.S. Jobless Claims Flat to Up
• Seasonally adjusted state initial claims unchanged at 884,000 in the week ending September 5. • Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims rise to 857,148. • Federal Pandemic Unemployment Assistance new filers increased to [...]
- Global| Sep 03 2020
New Seasonal Adjustment Complicates U.S. State Claims Data
• A shift from multiplicative to additive seasonal factors causes break in seasonally adjusted data, shifting focus to not-seasonally-adjusted data. • Not seasonally adjusted state initial jobless claims rose to 833,352 in the week [...]
- Global| Sep 01 2020
U.S. Construction Edges Higher as Residential Strength Mostly Offset by Nonresidential Weakness
• Construction spending ticked up 0.1% in July after four consecutive monthly declines. • Residential jumps 2.1% while public falls 1.3%. • The 5.3% decline in construction since February looks similar to previous recessions. The [...]
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