Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Aug 15 2023
U.S. Energy Prices Continue to Strengthen
Gasoline prices edge higher.

Crude oil prices remain on upward trend.

Natural gas prices continue to rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 14 2023
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Are Little Changed in Latest Four Weeks
Lumber & rubber prices decline.

Metals costs weaken, notably steel scrap.

Crude oil prices strengthen.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 11 2023
U.S. PPI Firms in July; Core Prices Rise Modestly
Annual gain edges higher but remains near three-year low.

Core goods prices hold steady; services prices strengthen.

Energy prices hold steady but food prices strengthen.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 10 2023
U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in July
Year-to-date, the deficit more than doubles versus FY’22.

Revenues continue to decline with lower individual tax receipts.

Outlay growth is strong as Medicare & Social Security payments rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 10 2023
U.S. CPI & Core Prices Increase Modestly in July
Core goods prices fall again; service price gain moves up.

Core prices less shelter ease.

Food & energy prices increase negligibly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 09 2023
U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue to Decline as Interest Rates Jump
Purchase & refinancing applications fall.

Effective interest rates climb to twenty-one year high.

Average loan size falls sharply.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 08 2023
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows in June as Imports Decline
Import decline is fourth in five months.

Exports are little changed.

Goods trade deficit falls; services surplus steadies.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 08 2023
U.S. Gasoline & Oil Prices Rise
Gasoline prices highest in nearly one year.

Crude oil prices increase to four-month high.

Natural gas prices ease.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 07 2023
Consumer Credit Balances Grow in June
Nonrevolving credit usage jumps.

Revolving credit borrowing slips.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 04 2023
U.S. Employment Growth Disappoints in July; Earnings Gain Steadies & Unemployment Rate Slips
July payroll gain remains weak; June & May revised lower.

Earnings growth is steady m/m & y/y.

Jobless rate eases as household employment remains solid.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 03 2023
U.S. ISM Services PMI Declines in July
Service-sector total retraces a piece of June’s increase.

Business activity & employment readings weaken.

Prices index moves higher.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 03 2023
U.S. Productivity Rebounds Strongly in Q2
Compensation surges, more than doubling Q1 rise.

Unit labor cost increase is strongest in three quarters.

Strength in factory compensation accompanies productivity rebound.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief