Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 06 2005

  U.S. Factory Inventories Back on the Rise, Order Backlogs Surged

  Factory inventories in October rose 0.6% following an upwardly revised 0.1% up tick in September. Less petroleum, the 0.4% (3.9% y/y) rise in factory inventories was the strongest since February. The October inventory gain was led by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  3Q U.S. Productivity Revised Up, 2Q Compensation Lower

  Non-farm labor productivity growth for 3Q was revised higher to 4.7% versus the initial estimate of a 4.1% gain. Consensus expectations had been for a revision to 4.5%. The strength of these increases is impressive given that three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2005

  3Q U.S. Productivity Revised Up, 2Q Compensation Lower

  Non-farm labor productivity growth for 3Q was revised higher to 4.7% versus the initial estimate of a 4.1% gain. Consensus expectations had been for a revision to 4.5%. The strength of these increases is impressive given that three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 05 2005

  ISM: Activity Expanded Outside the Factory Sector

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector in November slipped to 58.5 from an unrevised 60.0 the prior month. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 05 2005

  ISM: Activity Expanded Outside the Factory Sector

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that the Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector in November slipped to 58.5 from an unrevised 60.0 the prior month. A reading above 50 indicates expansion. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 02 2005

  Home Price Appreciation Strong, But Off Record Pace

  According to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) home prices in the U.S. continued to rise last quarter, but the rate of escalation showed signs of topping out. The 2.9% q/q rise was down from the prior quarter [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 02 2005

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Up Modestly

  According to the Autodata Corporation, November US sales of light vehicles recovered most of the prior month's decline with a 6.7% m/m rise to 15.74M. The increase, however, failed to recoup the decline during the prior three months. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 02 2005

  U.S. Payrolls Up

  In November, non-farm payrolls posted the largest gain since July. The 215,000 increase matched Consensus expectations and followed a 44,000 October rise that was slightly lower than initially reported, but the September figure was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 02 2005

  U.S. Payrolls Up

  In November, non-farm payrolls posted the largest gain since July. The 215,000 increase matched Consensus expectations and followed a 44,000 October rise that was slightly lower than initially reported, but the September figure was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 01 2005

  U.S. Construction Spending Up

  The value of construction put in place rose 0.7% in October though the September gain was revised lower to 0.2% due to a lessened increase in residential building. Residential building in October continued at about its earlier pace [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 01 2005

  US 3Q GDP Revised Up, Hurricanes Slam Profits

  US real GDP growth for 3Q was revised upward to 4.3% (AR) and surpassed Consensus expectations for 4.1% growth. Operating corporate profits are estimated to have declined 3.4% (+16.5% y/y) and that reversed most of a 2Q rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 01 2005

  ISM Index Fell As Expected and Still Firm

  The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the November Composite Index of activity in the manufacturing sector fell one point to 58.1. The decline about matched Consensus expectations and the average of the last three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief