January was riddled with some troublesome headlines. Political instability engulfed a number of countries including the US, Italy, the Netherlands – and via vaccine concerns – the European Commission. Worries about COVID mutations in [...]
Introducing
Andrew Cates
in:Our Authors
Andy Cates joined Haver Analytics as a Senior Economist in 2020. Andy has more than 25 years of experience forecasting the global economic outlook and in assessing the implications for policy settings and financial markets. He has held various senior positions in London in a number of Investment Banks including as Head of Developed Markets Economics at Nomura and as Chief Eurozone Economist at RBS. These followed a spell of 21 years as Senior International Economist at UBS, 5 of which were spent in Singapore. Prior to his time in financial services Andy was a UK economist at HM Treasury in London holding positions in the domestic forecasting and macroeconomic modelling units. He has a BA in Economics from the University of York and an MSc in Economics and Econometrics from the University of Southampton.
Publications by Andrew Cates
Global| Feb 03 2021Economic Performance Has Been OK Despite Difficult Headlines
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Jan 26 2021
Positive Scarring
Many commentators have been focusing on some of the negative longer-term effects of the coronavirus crisis on the world economy. These include higher levels of debt, higher long-term unemployment, weaker world trade growth and [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 26 2021
Positive Scarring
Many commentators have been focusing on some of the negative longer-term effects of the coronavirus crisis on the world economy. These include higher levels of debt, higher long-term unemployment, weaker world trade growth and [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2021
Some Reasons To Be Cheerful
Tinges of optimism that had crept into discussions about the global economic outlook toward the end of last year have given way to more balance and even perhaps heightened pessimism in recent weeks. Rapidly rising case numbers in the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Dec 18 2020
Good Riddance 2020!
It's that time of the year when economic forecasters typically publish reams of documentation containing their expectations for the year ahead. And it is fairly safe to assume that all of these forecasters are anticipating a much more [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 24 2020
The Light at the End of the Tunnel
"Light at the end of the tunnel" is a phrase that will likely be deployed very frequently in the coming weeks. That's because of the news concerning several vaccines for COVID-19 which have clearly generated heightened hope that the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 13 2020
A Vaccine Game Changer And What It Might Mean
The announcement this week concerning a potential vaccine for COVID-19 should be a game changer for the world economy. Financial markets have certainly greeted this news by pricing in a rosier global economic scenario (see figure 1 [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 02 2020
The Second Wave Slowdown
The global news-flow on COVID-19 has darkened in recent weeks and that will surely sour the economic outlook. A second wave is well and truly underway in many major economies (see figure 1) and policymakers have responded in some [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 05 2020
Emerging Markets and COVID-19
It's always tough to generalise about emerging market (EM) economies. Even knowing if they are emerging economies can be tricky as they are classified in different ways by different organisations. China's role and relative dominance [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
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