It's always tough to generalise about emerging market (EM) economies. Even knowing if they are emerging economies can be tricky as they are classified in different ways by different organisations. China's role and relative dominance [...]
Introducing
Andrew Cates
in:Our Authors
Andy Cates joined Haver Analytics as a Senior Economist in 2020. Andy has more than 25 years of experience forecasting the global economic outlook and in assessing the implications for policy settings and financial markets. He has held various senior positions in London in a number of Investment Banks including as Head of Developed Markets Economics at Nomura and as Chief Eurozone Economist at RBS. These followed a spell of 21 years as Senior International Economist at UBS, 5 of which were spent in Singapore. Prior to his time in financial services Andy was a UK economist at HM Treasury in London holding positions in the domestic forecasting and macroeconomic modelling units. He has a BA in Economics from the University of York and an MSc in Economics and Econometrics from the University of Southampton.
Publications by Andrew Cates
Global| Oct 05 2020Emerging Markets and COVID-19
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 25 2020
Two Steps Forward, One Step Back
The last few days have seen mounting evidence that firmly quashes the idea that we might have been close to achieving any semblance of normality in the period immediately ahead. The latest data that concern COVID-19 in particular make [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Sep 11 2020
Hard Times and Great Expectations
Officiandos of the works of Charles Dickens will recognize the book titles that head up this commentary. 'Hard Times' certainly seems apt when assessing the global economic damage that's been generated by the current crisis and the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Aug 27 2020
Asia's De-globalisation Nightmare and Covid-19
Having been at the forefront of globalisation in the last few decades emerging economies in Asia are now under severe strain. That globalisation trend after all was already stalling before the Coronavirus made its mark on China. And [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Aug 13 2020
Huge Holes in Europe with Limited Capacity to Climb Out Fast
Yesterday's release of Q2 GDP data in the UK has generated a more complete global picture of the economic devastation that's been generated by the Coronavirus pandemic. UK GDP specifically fell by 20.4% in Q2 which is the worst slump [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Jul 21 2020
Is It a V, U, or L?
The recent re-opening of Europe's economies from government-induced lockdowns has unsurprisingly triggered a revival in their economic fortunes. Many non-traditional high frequency data points for economic activity are now on the move [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Jul 07 2020
UK Still Travelling in the Slow Lane
With lockdown measures having been partially lifted in recent weeks, prospects for the UK economy seem to have improved. On the data front there has been some validation for that view as the composite PMI jumped sharply to 47.5 in [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jun 25 2020
Some Relief for Europe But Not Much
European financial markets welcomed the news earlier this week that June's flash purchasing managers indices for the Eurozone and the UK had recovered much of the ground that they lost in April and May. The headline composite index [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Jun 25 2020
Some Relief for Europe But Not Much
European financial markets welcomed the news earlier this week that June's flash purchasing managers indices for the Eurozone and the UK had recovered much of the ground that they lost in April and May. The headline composite index [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jun 18 2020
More QE from the BoE
The Bank of England’s (BoE) decision to expand its quantitative easing programme today by Ł100bln was not a big surprise for financial market participants. The incoming dataflow in recent days has offered an unambiguously bleak [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jun 10 2020
Taking the Temperature with Non-traditional Data
Many economists are now looking to non-traditional real-time data sources to get a bearing on the economic temperature. That's partly because of the normal lags that exist between the period to which traditional data sources pertain [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Jun 10 2020
Taking the Temperature with Non-traditional Data
Many economists are now looking to non-traditional real-time data sources to get a bearing on the economic temperature. That's partly because of the normal lags that exist between the period to which traditional data sources pertain [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
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