Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 15 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Dip

  US retail sales dipped 0.1% last month as consumers shifted away from autos and spent elsewhere. The decline followed a little revised 0.3% September gain but compared favorably to Consensus expectations for a 0.6% decline because [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2005

  PPI Up Another 0.7%, Core Prices Fell

  The overall Producer Price Index rose another 0.7% last month on top of the 1.9% September spike. The latest by far exceeded Consensus expectations for no change in prices. The strength last month was led by a 12.3% (50.4% y/y) rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 15 2005

  PPI Up Another 0.7%, Core Prices Fell

  The overall Producer Price Index rose another 0.7% last month on top of the 1.9% September spike. The latest by far exceeded Consensus expectations for no change in prices. The strength last month was led by a 12.3% (50.4% y/y) rise [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 14 2005

  October U.S. Budget Deficit Down Y/Y

  The U.S. federal government budget deficit continued lower during the opening month of FY06. The deficit of $47.2B fell 17.6% versus last October, about the same rate of decline as during FY05. As a percentage of GDP the deficit fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 14 2005

  October U.S. Budget Deficit Down Y/Y

  The U.S. federal government budget deficit continued lower during the opening month of FY06. The deficit of $47.2B fell 17.6% versus last October, about the same rate of decline as during FY05. As a percentage of GDP the deficit fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 11 2005

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The modest 0.2% increase in the September Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies marked the fourth consecutive gain and it improved the leaders' six month growth rate to 1.1%, the best in twelve months.The increase reflected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 11 2005

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The modest 0.2% increase in the September Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies marked the fourth consecutive gain and it improved the leaders' six month growth rate to 1.1%, the best in twelve months.The increase reflected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2005

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Remain Low

  A 2,000 increase in initial claims for unemployment insurance to 326,000 reversed only a piece of the prior week's revised 6,000 decline. Consensus expectations had been for 323,000 claims. The four-week moving average of initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2005

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Lifted By Drop in Oil Prices

  The preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in November from the University of Michigan rose 7.7% to 79.9, the highest level in three months. Consensus expectations had been for less of an improvement to 76.8. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2005

  Import Prices Declined

  Import prices fell an expected 0.3% last month following the revised 2.3% spike in September. Petroleum prices were the source of weakness as they reversed more than half of the prior month's gain with a 4.4% drop. Crude oil prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2005

  Record U.S. Trade Deficit Suffered Triple Whammy

  The combination of higher oil prices, higher gasoline imports and lost aircraft exports due to the Boeing strike pushed the September U.S. foreign trade deficit deeper to a record $66.1B from a little revised $59.2B in August. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 10 2005

  Record U.S. Trade Deficit Suffered Triple Whammy

  The combination of higher oil prices, higher gasoline imports and lost aircraft exports due to the Boeing strike pushed the September U.S. foreign trade deficit deeper to a record $66.1B from a little revised $59.2B in August. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief